Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sonadora Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Naa Dudette | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starlit Sofi | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Love Ireland | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Haired Gal | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Erin | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spread the Risk | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Verina | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ladida | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | We Got This | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chromotion | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kuwait Towers | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cucuy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Money On Ice | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Franks Mimi | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thousand Springs | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Highland Peak | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Grand Tower | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grey Princess | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Andie One | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shemightdancesalsa | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What a Knockout | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lizqueenfluerdelis | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Killargue’s Girl | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grandma’s Pudding | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s So Bearrish | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A Touch of Hail | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Far and Few | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cart Girl Sam | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Times | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teasing | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vibing | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Story | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goats On a Tree | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wow Lucky | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bonmati | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Takes Cash | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simply Striking | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Happy Holiday | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mi Amore | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Treasure Flay | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bigly Deal | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Icelander | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moral Agency | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arrow Ghost | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Go Santi | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swift Dancer | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Echo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Always Dialed | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Moby Warrior | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Makizan | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poseidons Myth | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | That Magic Moment | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Daniel | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Le Mistral | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Toby | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Erudite | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shipwreck | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Watch (IRE) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Effect | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Principito | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Slide Park | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candymaker | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rouki | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louie the Sun King | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mekele | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Madaket’s Arrow | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chicken Parm | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seekingbythestorm | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ace Up Her Sleeve | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Free to Roam | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cleopatra’s Nile | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sunroof | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Sweetfantasy | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allons | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Run Bolt | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.