Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Monday, May 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Mitole 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Paula’s a Star 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 War Tax 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Resilient Hero 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Authentic Kingdom 1.40 4.9 9-1
3 3 Katerina Ristova 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Wonder Again S.) – Wonder Again S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sweet Rebecca 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Vive Veuve 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Segesta 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Sy B 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Curlin’s Girl 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Grayosh 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Six Pack Senorita 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Golden Degree 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Truly Quality 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Spirit 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Better Bet 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Samburu (GB) 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Hold the Salsa 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Night Effect 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Be Like Clint 12.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Catch a Wave 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Good Medicine 8.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Paddington 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Going Concern (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jackson’s Dixie 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sandy’s Garden 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Tempermental 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 No Chalk 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Bank On Anna 4.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Queens Masterpiece 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Backed by Gold 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Colonel Vargo 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Daddy Knows 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Heir Port 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Red D G P 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Honorary Degree 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Prince James 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 First Deputy 5.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Bronx Bomber 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 F F Rocket 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Magic Eight Ball 12.00 1 2-1
15 15 Shop Lifting 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Dreams She Dreams 12.00 2 4-1
16 16 Quiescent 12.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 American Kestrel 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Bewildered 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Sassy Allie 6.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Don’t Touch Me (IRE) 30.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Ori 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wrigleyville 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tipple 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Corona Princess 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 La Salvadorena 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Risk Threshold (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Echo Baybe (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Izzy Sweet Girl (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Willintoriskitall 3.50 1 2-1
15 15 Mighty Atlas 1.60 3.4 6-1
10 10 Clear Conscience 10.00 4.1 8-1
16 16 Safalow’s Mission 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Dolly’s Bank 15.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 King Freud 12.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Vin Santo 20.00 10.3 19-1
9 9 Relate 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Laurel Valley 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 American Grant 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Slapintheface 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Gem Mint Ten 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Image of Quality 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bettrluckythangood 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Provision 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ez Roll 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ava’s Uncle Billy 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Eric From Miami 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Stormquist 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Cool Operator 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Retail Man 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Brown Don’t Stop 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Mama’s Dream 8.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Secured Landing 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Barnstorming 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Timaeus 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Collect From Ike 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Midnight Express 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Endowed 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Jungfrau 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Ice Road 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Chalky Cat 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 October Bliss 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.