Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Mitole | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paula’s a Star | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Tax | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Resilient Hero | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Authentic Kingdom | 1.40 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katerina Ristova | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Wonder Again S.) – Wonder Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Rebecca | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vive Veuve | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Segesta | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sy B | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Girl | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grayosh | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Six Pack Senorita | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Golden Degree | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Truly Quality | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Spirit | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Better Bet | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Samburu (GB) | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold the Salsa | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Night Effect | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Be Like Clint | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catch a Wave | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Medicine | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paddington | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Going Concern (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jackson’s Dixie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy’s Garden | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tempermental | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Chalk | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bank On Anna | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queens Masterpiece | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Backed by Gold | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Vargo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Knows | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heir Port | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red D G P | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honorary Degree | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince James | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | First Deputy | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bronx Bomber | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | F F Rocket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magic Eight Ball | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Shop Lifting | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreams She Dreams | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Quiescent | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Kestrel | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bewildered | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sassy Allie | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Don’t Touch Me (IRE) | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ori | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wrigleyville | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tipple | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Corona Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | La Salvadorena | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Risk Threshold (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Echo Baybe (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Izzy Sweet Girl (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Willintoriskitall | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mighty Atlas | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clear Conscience | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Safalow’s Mission | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dolly’s Bank | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | King Freud | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vin Santo | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Relate | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Laurel Valley | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | American Grant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Slapintheface | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gem Mint Ten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Image of Quality | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bettrluckythangood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Provision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ez Roll | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ava’s Uncle Billy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eric From Miami | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormquist | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Operator | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Retail Man | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brown Don’t Stop | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mama’s Dream | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secured Landing | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Barnstorming | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Timaeus | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Collect From Ike | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Express | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Endowed | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jungfrau | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chalky Cat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | October Bliss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.