Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 British Sea 3.50 1 2-1
15 15 Conniving 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mighty Glory 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Fire Baron 12.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Caesar’s Ghost 4.50 7.6 14-1
1 1 Hours in a Day 8.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Lcgolucky 15.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Comanche Peak (GB) 30.00 9.7 18-1
14 14 Bolt d’Plata 4.00 10.3 19-1
7 7 Pujol 10.00 11.9 22-1
10 10 Dangerous Driver 3.50 12.3 23-1
11 11 Zen Air 15.00 12.5 24-1
5 5 Drunk On Sake 8.00 12.5 24-1
13 13 Oxford Union 5.00 14.2 27-1
6 6 Bookworm 1.40 14.3 27-1
8 8 Discreet Bnb 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Tremont S.) – Tremont S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Classic of Course 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Three Echoes 2.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Shoot the Nickel 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Touchy 2.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Dominican Thunder 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Dew 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Studlydoright 6.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Brereton’s Baytown 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Caldo Candy 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Land d’Oro 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Silver Satin 2.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Camm’ Duke 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Kaz Palace 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Brick Ambush 4.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 B D Saints 8.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Stop the Spread 30.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Toscano 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Jersey Girl S.) – Jersey Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Becky’s Joker 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Roman Grace 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Almostgone Rocket 1.20 2.8 5-1
7 7 Moonlit Lady 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Carmelina 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Manama Gold 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Gray Lightning 3.50 6.1 12-1
6 6 Dorothy’s Dreams 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Cerretta 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Ariana Rye 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 In the End 4.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Heart of the Night 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Strictly Taboo 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Beautiful Thief 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Lonchura 30.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Spirit of Esther 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Magnolia Wind 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Summer Whirl 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Harmonyville 30.00 7.1 13-1
Beautiful Thief 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Classy Mischief 20.00 1 2-1
9 10 Neat Trick 5.00 1.2 2-1
5 4 She’s Wicked Smart 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 8 Park Avenue Betty 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Montego Bay 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 5 Chanteuse 1.20 4.9 9-1
1A 6 Audacious 1.20 5.6 11-1
4 3 Refuse to Lose 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 7 Sicilian Princess 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 1 Silvology 12.00 7 13-1
Chanteuse 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miz Sense 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ways and Means 0.40 2.5 5-1
1 1 Do Gooder 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Broderie 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Striker Has Dial 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Ichiban 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Dot Marie 50.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Bon Adieu 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 Obrigada 30.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Sarir 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Film Academy 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Romantic Charmer 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Teta’s Trotter 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Mission Hill 4.00 6.7 13-1
16 16 Iron Man Ira 1.40 6.8 13-1
7 7 All Good Here 3.00 7 13-1
8 8 Allofasuddenlee 10.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Wind Dancer 20.00 9 17-1
12 12 Saffredi 20.00 10 19-1
2 2 Artful Dreamer 12.00 12.1 23-1
14 14 Hagrid’s Flame 5.00 13 25-1
13 13 Charles J 6.00 13.3 25-1
4 4 The Manticore 50.00 13.3 25-1
11 11 Metatron 8.00 14.2 27-1
15 15 Berning Beauty 8.00 14.7 28-1
10 10 Tiz the Prince 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Astoria S.) – Astoria S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 West Memorial 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 French Horn 3.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Whatintheliteral 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Baytown Cleopatra 50.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Biscuitwiththeboss 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Long Neck Paula 2.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Aoraki 5.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 The Queens M G 6.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Baytown Butterfly 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Belmont Gold Cup S.) – Belmont Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Siskany (GB) 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Starting Over 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Champagne Juan 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 So High (GB) 30.00 6 11-1
3 3 Really Good 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Pioneering Spirit 10.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 The Grey Wizard (IRE) 8.00 8.2 16-1
13 13 Costa Terra 2.50 8.3 16-1
9 9 Six Minus 15.00 9.9 19-1
14 14 Dai Vernon 1.80 9.9 19-1
1 1 Limited Liability 8.00 11.6 22-1
8 8 Sports Editor 50.00 13.6 26-1
7 7 Lucky Curlin 30.00 13.9 26-1
4 4 Cibolian 50.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.