Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Illuminare 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Commander of Truth 4.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Mr. Papagiorgio 30.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Rolling Along 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Escondido 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Call Bob 30.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Clever Mischief 4.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Trulli Warrior 3.50 5.9 11-1
3 3 Pentathlon 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Itza Mirrakle 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Arthur’s Ride 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Donegal Forever 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Leading Contender 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Costa Terra 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Duke of Gloucester 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Kerouac 30.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Rocco Strong 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Perform 12.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Tapit Shoes 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lord Flintshire 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Yo Daddy 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Mo Rewards 2.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 Victors Valiant 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 My Friend Louie 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Addicted to You 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Skellig Island 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Big Night Out 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 American Grant 15.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Sinful Dancer 30.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Mr. Mendelssohn 15.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Road Soda 30.00 12 23-1
15 15 Strapped 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Storming Chrome 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Collect From Ike 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Liar’s Poker 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lucency 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Debate 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Notah 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Own the Field 6.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Musical Maestro 20.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Leftembehind 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Kant Beat the Rock 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Proven Hope 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 G Munning 50.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 High Heat 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Boss Tweed 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Boat’s a Rockin 0 0-1
7 7 Run Curtis Run 10.00 1 2-1
12 12 Senbei 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 3 City Mischief 10.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Mischievous Angel 4.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Fluid Situation 12.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Clear the Air 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Bring Me a Check 15.00 3 6-1
5 4 Boat’s a Rockin 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Script 6.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Lark’s Mischief 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 King Angelo 20.00 11 21-1
1 5 Secret Rules 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cees Get Degrees 4.50 SCRATCH
1A 16 Lost in Rome 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Top Gunner 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ikigai 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stolen Magic 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Tifareeh 10.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Hunt Ball 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Spirit Prince 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Pirate 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Time Song 12.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Army Officer 4.50 4.2 8-1
12 12 Indianquest 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Marceau 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Aleah Aleah 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Sanderson 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Vinsanity 50.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Ez Roll 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Top Conor 0.80 SCRATCH
16 16 Cool Operator 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Have You Heard 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Munnys Gold 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Roswell 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sugar Hi 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Sam’s Treasure 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Ziaerati 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Kehoe Beach 12.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Coolcalm Collected 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Very Practical 20.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Little Linzee 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Majestic Return 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Justthefactsjack 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Jefferson Street 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mariachi 12.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Radio Red 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 One Giant Leap 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Kunshan Bridge 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Eliminate 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 El Capi 4.00 5.3 10-1
1A 13 Contrary Thinking 2.50 7.9 15-1
7 7 Be the Boss 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Printrack 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sesame Seed Bagel 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Light Man 15.00 SCRATCH
1 3 General Partner 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Intercontinental S. Presented By Mtv Solutions) – Intercontinental S. Presented By Mtv Solutions

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roses for Debra 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Run for the Hills 12.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Medalla Match 15.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Future Is Now 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Kaufymaker 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Gal in a Rush 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Spicybug 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Lady Milagro 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Everyoneloveslinda 30.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Love Reigns (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Just A Game S.) – Just A Game S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Beaute Cachee (FR) 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Whitebeam (GB) 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Gina Romantica 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Chili Flag (FR) 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Evvie Jets 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Mission of Joy 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Coppice (GB) 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (New York S. Presented By Rivers Casino) – New York S. Presented By Rivers Casino

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fev Rover (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 McKulick (GB) 10.00 2 4-1
3 3 Didia (ARG) 4.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Sparkle Blue 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 War Like Goddess 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Aspen Grove (IRE) 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 American Sonja (GB) 10.00 6.4 12-1
13 13 Surprisingly 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Be Your Best (IRE) 30.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 English Rose (IRE) 3.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Star Fortress (IRE) 20.00 10.6 20-1
7 7 Neecie Marie 15.00 11.9 23-1
12 12 Royalty Interest (FR) 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Dk Horse Acorn S.) – Dk Horse Acorn S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Just F Y I 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Thorpedo Anna 1.60 1.5 3-1
3 3 Leslie’s Rose 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Gun Song 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Where’s My Ring 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 My Mane Squeeze 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Power Squeeze 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Regulatory Risk 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Becky’s Joker 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.