Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Route Runner | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smile Mon | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Express Line | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rivetage | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr Kringle | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patch O’Brien | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | East From West | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Happyflyer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Herb Elias | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deeply Hidden | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Yorke | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Turnpike | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Discombobulaator | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Xavi | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moroder | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Magic | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Mo B | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Curl Girl | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catmint | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Shape | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Provocative | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Condone | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lightbulb Moment | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sutherland | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City of Clouds | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stirdatpot | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Flat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dontkissdaminister | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bobwhite Bobby | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Huntington | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Criminal Defense | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready Pursuit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dive Bomber | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Daily Grind | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Telescopic | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Salute | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vesture | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Thomas | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heart of Oscar | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Ak Sar Ben Derby | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Curlin Gunner | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Campbell | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Acting Debut | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | San Martin | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Demetrius | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Chasing Kitty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sandborn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Half Dome (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beelieve Her | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | High Fashion Kate | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Answer the Call | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trotter | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beelieve Her | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sharper Gal | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smart With Heart | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Big Calhouna | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wailua | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yuma’s Shadow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mugen | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Madison | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joelma | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shezalittlestinker | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harper’s Ride | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Social Affair | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Life’s for Living | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye of the Pharaoh | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Speighter Woman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Travaille | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starship Belmont | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackie’s Love | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Highly Creative | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Tenko | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alamo | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Late Nite Lizzie | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Sun Dress | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Run Rabbit | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lubu | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legally Lucky | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Suncroft | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mullikin | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kavod | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frat Pack | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Major Blue | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | W W Candy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nabokov | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ready to Pounce | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chiron | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Graphic Detail | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Escape | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Page One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fort Warren | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Arro Smash | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mighty Beau S.) – Mighty Beau S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo Stash | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nothing Better | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ryvit | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Panther Island | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yes I Am Free | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Rogue | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Beat Brian | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Edge to Edge | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charcoal | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kaufymaker | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Clear the Air | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Where’s the Wine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ellen Jay | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Endless Glow | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | From Scratch | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lotsandlotsofcandy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Fairytale | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | A Little Canela | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | High Clover | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Go Purple | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.