Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Internal Capital |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
War Beat |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Charge Off |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Into You |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ambor Night |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Internal Capital |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Immense Faith |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Old Flag (IRE) |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Admiral’s Wave |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sam Stormy |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dontbesoogrouchy |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
8 |
8 |
Noble Star |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Global Legend |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Joey Muscles |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Itza Boss |
4.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Global Legend |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Candycrumbs |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zizka |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Centerfold Guy |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Expect the Best |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sand Wedge |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lightning Dust |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
It’s Only Words |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Follow the Fed |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shiloh |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mas Vino |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
My Sarasota Queen |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Look Like It |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Oakridge |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Worries Unfounded |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cosmic Symphony |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Country Economics |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Not Surprising S.) – Not Surprising S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Prevent |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
In a Jam |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Echo Lane |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oishi |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dancing Groom |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Chato |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Secret Lover |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Inherent Promise |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Alpha Blue |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sir Banana Brian |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paisan |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Yasur |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Svar |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jake’s Affection |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vinicio |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Venezuelan Feeling |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bernardo’s Legacy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Romping Runner |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Zaino |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Gowokegobroke |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Cajun’s Choice |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Mister Cooper |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
First Coast Storm |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Fourty Four |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Shake Your Bones |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Belly of Jelly |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Candy Street |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fast Chad |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Changeordersonny |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chaotic Tempo |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Malibu Mike |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Venezuelan Faith |
8.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
12 |
12 |
Divining Stone |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beyond Reproach |
20.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sir Daniel |
20.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sky Traveler |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Daniel Sun |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Uncaptured Boy |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kingfish Stevens |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
The Doorman |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sigrun Fast Boy |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Opposites Attract |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hari |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Born a Gambler |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Great Illusion |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Freelance |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Fast N Steady |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiz a Beast |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Forwardly |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
My Way Or No Way |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Lights of Broadway |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Big Martini |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Strong |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Toxic Gray |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Comedy Town |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Turbo |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Free Soul |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Papeete |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Gayles Evening |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anatomy |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moanas Power |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
David’s Rose |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Talkin Tipsy |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Founder’s Day |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mistica Traviesa (CHI) |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ornela (CHI) |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Val’s Gal |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tator Made |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Chapalu |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Night Jumper |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bryce Canyon |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bringer of Rain |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gentleman Gerry |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Desolator |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shankar |
3.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pound Green |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Coach Abernathy |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Martha Washington S.) – Martha Washington S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
De Regreso |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Welcome Back |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mojave Desert |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Candy Gray |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Majestic Venezuela |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Parallel |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lady O’Brien |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pure Magic Girl |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sleepwalker |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Carrington |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.