Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ace It |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Freedom Stance |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Repeatingofcourse |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fear Nothing |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kitty’s Son |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Serata Six |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Seafarer |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gogo Chanel |
12.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Crimson Princess |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hazelmoor Beach |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Salty Girl |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Catch the Kitten |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Inside the Box |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Water Witch |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Out of Luck |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Please Marry Me |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Cover the Spread |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Street Lass |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Good Morning Mercy |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Collecting Angels |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dine and Dash |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Map to the Moon |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Great Andrei |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lost River |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Boys Go to Jupiter |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Ship the Goods |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Doctor Jeff |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Where’s Ray |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mid Day Image |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vocalize |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
By the Sey Shore |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
John Hall |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Noble Emotion |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Embolden |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
B Determined |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Don’t Wait Up |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
B West |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
On the Mark |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Italian War Cry |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
First to Arrive |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hot Dance |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Enemynumbernine |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mischief Motion |
1.40 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Diamond Sue |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dropping Lemons |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Enkindle |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Where’s Emma |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nuwanda |
20.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Victory Badge |
20.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flowerdew |
30.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Strand of Gold |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Circle Home |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Grammy Girl |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Angelofcanterbury |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Take a Break |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
15 |
15 |
Sweet Mimi |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
16 |
16 |
Ninja Abarrio |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Waridi Candy |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jess’s Gypsy Girl |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Preparefortakeoff |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Bossyness |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Brooklyn Girl |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Martini Martin |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Castle Island |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Armando R |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1A |
9 |
Search Engine |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brilliant Ice |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wish for Peace |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
It’s Viper |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
John the Bear |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Uninvited Guest |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Celtic Contender |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Irish Hero |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Force of Justice |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Buckin’ Dreamer |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bolt of Aurum |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frosty the Giant |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Guardian Prince |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Steam Knot |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Learning to Fly |
10.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rye Smile |
1.80 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Incisive Kitten |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Heavenly Ciella |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Granuaile |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Repeat After Me |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Mor Mor Mor |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.