Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bad Uncle Barry |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Russells Hustle |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Old Nine (IRE) |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Odyssey |
5.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wild Recruit |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Broheim |
5.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Divisible By |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Friends With Fidel |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Special Club |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Where’s the Loot |
1.40 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smokem Ez |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Haywood |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Capo Luigi |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ace Ace Baby |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Respect the Crown |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sky Sailing |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Discrepancy |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Annie Fox |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
El Potente |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
City Exile (GB) |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ottoman Prince (IRE) |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seven Wonders |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midnight Love |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shortman |
10.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
6 |
98 |
Sea Singer (IRE) |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Stormy Samurai |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Oil Can Knight |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brutto |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ferociously |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perfecto Amor |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cross Examine |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
El Diablo Rojo |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Rowley |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prosper |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
D’ Oro Dash |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pacific Quest |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pure Madness |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Osage Creek |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Oscar Joy |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cailin Dana |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Summertime Oaks) – Summertime Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Jane Austen |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nothing Like You |
0.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Show Card |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sugar Fish |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Madiha |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ole Silver |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jamies Inheritance |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dream Princess |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Indy’s Star |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Madiha |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ankyrah |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zeyaraat |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Worthy of Magic |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dramatizer |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Perfect in Gray |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eltonsingsanother |
1.80 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Asian Matriarch |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Recalcitrant |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Celebration |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sharp Ride |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Petite Ange |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Carver |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ferrariano |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Keen to Go |
3.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
What a Dude |
3.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Derecho Dandy |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
St Ignacio |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Circleofchampions |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baldoro |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Ransom |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.