Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grace On Grace | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kiss Cam | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glamourcents | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Rita | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sevilla | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Boujee | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Voodoo Princess | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Bern | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lovebug | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Preyathousandwords | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Corningstone | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Pleasure | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sultry Lass | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Isle Beach | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guana Cay | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Kings Princess | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Moth | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Wells | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flotation Station | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Save the Trees | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Echo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Joke | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Al Ameeq | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | For Some Reason | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crafted | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sitka | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Leslie’s Lady Overnight S.) – Leslie’s Lady Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moonlit Lady | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tambo | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlene’s Dream | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Legadema | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emery | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Lady Lu Sha | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blue Squall | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bedazzle ‘Em | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Raconteuse | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grapes for Eloise | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shore War | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guinevere | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deep Satin | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Scenic Beauty | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saranac Lake | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mixologist | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Myiyla | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whappen | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Subject | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Stay Lost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Purring | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lemon Latte | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Adrasteia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recker Point | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Unlimitedpotential | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Lips Say Bliss | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sun Thunder | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unlimitedpotential | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Recker Point | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elephants Ear | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Single Dot Yaht | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Raid | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cartucho | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Anthem King | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Native Shaman | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Yesternight | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hypersport | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joke Sisi (CHI) | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Secret Statement | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Backyard Money | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always Angels | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bru Na Boinne | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Proud Foot | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steel Racer | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Music City Star | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flamand | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Raindrops On Roses | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hartful Hope | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Matt Winn S.) – Matt Winn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rocketeer | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | West Saratoga | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who Dey | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Flame | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Luna Tap | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Message | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Society Man | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Next Level | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nash | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Scatify | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sahalat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Ridge | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mission River | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Levanter | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maxwell | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Point Clear | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bello | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Salt Lick | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Sam | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Accident | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.