Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | April de Velp | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tivali | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Assistant | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Tribute | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hobbie Class | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War’s End Kiss | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Watch | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Oscarsson | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Grey | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backonthechaingang | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friendly Ghost | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bee Me | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Buck | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awmik Side of Town | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Raider | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zeena Swift | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You Be the Judge | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent and Sinful | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Genius of Love | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tentomidnight | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Current Affair | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Its Just Money | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Wind | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ready to Collect | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unstable Storm | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clive Cross | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sehr Schoen | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Pistol | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Live Lucky | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Profesorridesagain | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kokomo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Guest | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Legend | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stitches | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wagstaff | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Your Gloves | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Screen Boss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hundred Percent | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cornwall | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Life Is Hard | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jim’s Hope | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Repeat the Heat | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Sky | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winston Blue | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Sea | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Win d’Oro | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Always a Way | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Light the Lamp | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aim for the Sky | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boston Tea Party | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last American Exit | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jazz Hands | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poseidon Steel | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Watson | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Society’s Thunder | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Queenston S.) – Queenston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Boy Prince | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Junior Hot Shot | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Babbo | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Highland Blue | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No More Options | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Western Whirl | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roscar | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Essex Serpent | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pierre | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speedy Hans | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Munnings | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blackteca | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hallie’s Hero | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blame J D | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Determined Fury | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shady Empire | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Speedy Hans | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Truebelieve | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Boat to Skye | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Graceful Fighter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.