Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speakinofthedevil | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J. P. Race | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tim Tal | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Western Command | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Express Cruiser | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bettering | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veracruzin | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Veracruzin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer in Aiken | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Line Overdrive | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redhill | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freaky Z | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Nation | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midway Miracle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Run Jalen Run | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capital Connection | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adrift | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lebombo | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Returned | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gagliardi | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Samurai Prince | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soaring Bird | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | G T Five Hundred | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fitzpatrick | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Robo Man | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Ollie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Santa Cruiser | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Born Flawless | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mor Happy Hours | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Bernadette | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tammy’s Cruiser | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pam Pam | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cause Ima Rose | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blind Speed | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Talavera | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elodine | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Beat | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noriskit Nobiscuit | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Had That One Too | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broughty Ferry | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ladan | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steampunk | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Stagflation | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steampunk | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Alabama | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wine and Waves | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockaway Reef | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avalon Girl | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Far So Good | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Streets of Paris | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ain’t No Other | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Salute the Stars | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Giant Game | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gasoline | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Rising | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Corinto (ARG) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Catch | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior Johny | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tall Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Yell County | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trumptastic | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bernin Hot | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Macaw | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Be Smart | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Availability | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bettera | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pursuit of Power | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Azoi | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.