Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lovely Drama 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Always Connected 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Voodoo Priestess 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Ritz On Broadway 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Red River Susi 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Mairsils First 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 No Walk Inthe Park 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Arrogant Rider 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ascribe 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Brother Lad 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Photo Hop 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 El Mic Tiesun 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Great Call 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Go Take Charge 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Nanga Parbat (GB) 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bourbon Express 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Scorestosettle 15.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Southern Pass Time 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 True Account 8.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Starforce 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Ship Master 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Sail On Home 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Buck Run 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Rubidor 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 So Smooth 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Holdtheflight 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Running River 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Steele Money 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 My Danny Boy 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Polar Wind 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Ghost of Khozan 4.50 6.8 13-1
8 8 Lookin for Justice 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Minxzhippsdontleye 15.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Hollywood Closeup 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Phlying Phyllis 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Beautiful Blome 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Synergism 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Highlighted 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 In My Memories 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Ade 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Xochil 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cloudy Bay 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Out of Luck 15.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Expecting a Winner 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Roubaix 4.00 4 7-1
6 6 Louise Brooks 1.80 5 9-1
4 4 She’s Mybuddybuddy 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Lady Lancer 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Lil Annie Rose 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Golden Tabby 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Always Mia 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Give Me Kisses 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Hazardous Humor 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Hot Fudge Warrior 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Sea Art 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight Getaway 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rahmer 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Pistol Or Shotgun 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Positively Awesome 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Class Actor 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Collect Redemption 1.80 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.