Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Carters Showgirl 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Fearless Eagle Z 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Wanna Sweet Treet 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Kiss My Folly 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 El Turista 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Ar Lethal Corona 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Bold Bux 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Fast Dashin Blood 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Five Boy Fast 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Relentless Bling 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Aj Taylors Red Train 0 0-1
7 7 Sizzlin Zayla 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Aj Taylors Red Train 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Sheza Tko 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Marla Cartel Angel 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Meagan All Over 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 All About Channing 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rf Obvious Power 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Political Moon 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Maryjanes Relentless 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 I Am the Guy 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Aunt Ila 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lil Heza Blue 4.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Allabout the Tide 3.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Makinit 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 B All In 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Jolenetakesthemoney 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 One Sweet Tequila 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dash Down the Line 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Aj Taylorsyawlsboss 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Cecilia Jess Blue 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Jess Divi the Cash 4.50 7.2 14-1
3 3 Ericks First Wagon 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Logans Tee Cos 8.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Jess Back the Blue 8.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 B the Vision 15.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Thisbcanfly 15.00 9 17-1
6 6 A First Patriot 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jrs Majestic Gator 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Maria Isabella 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Courageous Cartel 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 First Cash Ha Chi 3.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Fantsy Train 8.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Streakin Aces 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Franny B Dove 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Bayou Moon 12.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Mp Secret 20.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Just B Classy 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tlc the Pilot 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Pjs Moonpie 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 All Aboard B 4.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Tf Miss Rip Too 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Tee Frere 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Only Contender 8.00 7 13-1
10 10 Jewel First Dash 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Cinco Dos Adios Tee 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Atom Eve B 8.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Tdz Bambis La Cartel 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Martinis Cartel 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Louisiana Blood 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Precious Rogue 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Leaving At Noon 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Brays American Dream 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Super Chewy Mickey 8.00 6 11-1
10 10 Strait Vodka 12.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Jess a Blu Streak 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Quick Draw Piloto 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Fli Ona Straw 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lassie Fast Dash 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Corona Two Socks 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Wood Be Leaving 1.80 2 4-1
3 3 Jrs Jess First 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Fk Let Er Rip 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Oak Hill Dasher 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Bella Breez 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Jess Diamonds 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Dashn for Corona 20.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Mj Star Minute 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jess Deluxe 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Channings Prize 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Rogue From the South 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Mercie Me 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Quick Ladys Cash 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Force of Anakin 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Cartel Drama 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Scoop of Power 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Jm Tee Cos Mon Coeur 20.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 B a Lady 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tlc Fabulous 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Jrs Toasted Cartel 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Deez All Joomy 20.00 3 6-1
5 5 Jessafreight 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Fast Flyin Floozy 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Blood N Coronas 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pattys Corona 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lrh Jess Shake It Up 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 One Eye Angel 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Jp La Fresita 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.