Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Blame J D 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Priceless Will 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Lapochka 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Feelthebeat 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Speedy Hans 1.60 4.2 8-1
1 1 Graceful Fighter 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silent Patsy 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Summer Holiday 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Miss Waterloo 3.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Daddy’s Daisy 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Stormy Ocean 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Six for a Nine 20.00 4 7-1
6 6 Disgruntledpelican 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 She Is Hopeful 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Mrs. Benjamin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Destin Night 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mo Twilight 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Ami’s Girl 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Cee’nceesgreytness 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Chicago Typhoon 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Queen Sahara 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Shes a Darling 20.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Laney Grace 20.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Classic Glory 10.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Katz Me of Course 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Midsummer Mo 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Worship 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 One Front War 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Perfect Lady Bee 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Just Magnificent 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Humble Heart 20.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Idyllic 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Twisted Romance 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rule the Waves 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Seattle Causeway 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Braquet 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Mason’s Music 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Foxy Diva 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 La Princessa Polly 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Dreams and Schemes 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Villi Olento 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Moral Turpitude 20.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 I Have an Idea 20.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 High Treason 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Weehawken 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kantbackoff 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Royal Blush 3.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Holiday With Amy 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ashbury 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Addendum 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Julie’s Mist 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Red Eleanor 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Haslemere 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Liam’s Awesome 8.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Kid Gizmo 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Silent Passion 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Zibibbo 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Daisycrest 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Arya’s Quest 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Firebolt 20.00 5 9-1
8 8 La Grigia 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Smoken Chloe 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Thatsitthatsall 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Castleton 10.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Smiles for David 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Lady Xi 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Rookie Court 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 More Gelato 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 Practical Gizmo 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 War’s End Kiss 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Krypto Gains 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dial a Cliche 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.