Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Rockhard Ten 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Cos I Got Game 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 You Me and P3 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Fast Dashin Lou 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Gold Heart Policy 4.50 7 13-1
6 6 Jess Surfing 8.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Special Jam 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Power Game 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Rafaello 10.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Pop Pop Rabbit 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jj Sir Runaway 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Rh Zancudito Flash 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Zm Africa 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Havens Jambalaya 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Unbethlievable 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Twn One Sweet Bella 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 El Corona Girl 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Sheza Bar Hopper 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Valentino Cartel 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Powerful Moment 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Dreamgirls Dynasty 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Enchantyd 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Rh Primis Sixes 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Hs Panama City 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Hot N Spicy Baby 10.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Sweet Drink 6.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Ivans Elusive Lady 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Freighttrain Lee 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lelas Corona 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 H D H Rufino 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Sonjas Stellar Luna 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 La Pantera Jp 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Super Buxs 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Zero Kelvin 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Jess a Theory 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Vf Up the Money 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Memphis Badboy 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Shez Ablue Cartel 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tf Itsy Bitsy Jess 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Kb Callies Zoomin 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Iveseenwhatyoucando 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Carter Dash for Real 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Da Repo Man 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Tdz Jess Crown Jewel 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Tlc Snowman 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Catch Ya Later Chic 8.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Seperate Moon 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alcala Perry 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hollywood Eagle 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Tinys First Runaway 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Polita Chick 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 San Lorenzo Rose 2.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Corona Only 3.50 6.3 12-1
9 9 Sheza Bell Perry 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 The Shining Cartel 15.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Diamond Blood 12.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Louisiana Pretty 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blue Blizzard 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Po Luckie 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Miss Headlines 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Jp El Huerfanito 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 World Hero 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Dumb Country 15.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Kenny From Winnie 3.50 9.1 17-1
5 5 Lz Hennessy 15.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Curlin Coal 2.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Kerrys Fast Patriot 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wish U Were Whiskey 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Ks Tiger Oak 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Brown Kat 8.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Fortyacres and Amule 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Tell Your Senators 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Ana Maria 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Jess Taylor Made 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Rio Maradona 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Moonin N Zoomin 20.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 Fabulous Blue 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lightemupwithcharm 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Louie B Quick 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Good Lookin Patriot 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Ponookies Fast Cash 5.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Cb Pinkmoonin 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Changing the Game 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Diamondonatrain 8.00 8 15-1
4 4 Jm Friday 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Doin It Just for Fun 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Open Eagle 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Ttt Lil Blackstreak 4.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Jess Jumpn Dynasty 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 San Lorenzeaux 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Ttt La Kas 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Featured Prospect 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Chloes Prize 15.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Sheza Fast Jesse 12.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Flashy Bp 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sizzlin Cartel Blue 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sweet Sassy Sista 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Just Beaukas I Can 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Costeenightwelayaces 20.00 3 6-1
2 2 Carters Cajun Queen 2.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Sarayu 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Eloquenz 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Alyhundro 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Rock Eagle 12.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Avl Open Flower Jess 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.