Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 This Dude a Breeze 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Good Rapport 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Alberta Be Mine 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Stormin Dave 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Lobby Bar 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Yorkville 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Confusing 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Always a Way 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Absolute Chairman 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bill Needle 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Bar Talk 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Cantucci 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Spanish Serenade 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Chasing Bourbon 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 This Katz for Real 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Holiday in Chile 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Dixie’s Flatter 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Golden Wind 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Wetiko 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Sing Dixie 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Tipsy Fox 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Johnny Gold 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Cheap Speed 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Silver Pistol 4.00 7 13-1
9 9 Left in My Dust 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Tonto 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Four Aces High 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Long Pond 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Salvator Mundi 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Victory March 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Midnight Arkle 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Blue Max 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Souper River 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Magic Tomahawk 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Courageous Copper 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pet Sounds 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 So Called Vacation 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Popweiser 4.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Buck’s Fizz 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 True Shot 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Ontario Holiday 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 North Warden 10.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Swervin Mervyn 8.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Java Power 12.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 King Vida 15.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Arrakasta Izan 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Steak and Cheese 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Elusive Knight 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Palio 10.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Proven Strategies 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Classy Whisper 20.00 2 4-1
3 3 C My Meister 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Mighty Sea 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Avoman 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 A Rose for Raven 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Souped Up 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dresden Row 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Souper Watson 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Perfect Crime 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Maakwa 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Red River Rebel 2.00 8 15-1
1 1 Rapid Test 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Midnight Tempesta 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Maticulant 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Jack 5.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Forest Flash 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Boston Bay 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Lonhro’s Gamble 12.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Paradise Perfect 4.00 8 15-1
5 5 Squeezethesharman 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Oh Peanuts 20.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Fascination Street 6.00 11 21-1
9 9 Play the Dots 20.00 11.7 22-1
7 7 Tropical Getaway 10.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.