Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 13, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Yoda 0 0-1
1 1 Little Moon Darling 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Paint Me Onis 3.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Jp Storm Eagle 12.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Jess So Blessed 6.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Yoda 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Da Miller Lite Man 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Mda Wild Corona Eyes 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 A Corona Stud 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Rh Querida Soraya 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tf Miss Tee Jess 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Louisiana Starter S.) – Louisiana Starter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jess Corona Blue 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Fletch My Alcohol 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Ole Grand Web 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Rio Rojo Negras 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Ks Grand Kiss 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 San Lorenzo Girl 15.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Rip Blade 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 The Fiscal Flyer 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Hosanna Hosanna 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 One Fast B 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Flying Breed S.) – Flying Breed S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Konnan Cartel 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Onemorewildtrain 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Tuckers Prize 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Caliente Operator 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Jeg Fascination 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Mp Thornado 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 India de La Nieve 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Geaux Party Geaux 8.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Tf Jess a Eagle 20.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Mighty Pocket Rocket 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Live Oak S.) – Live Oak S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 One Fast Cajun 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Jess Catch This 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Rogues Fast Sister 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Power Up 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Masons Jet Black 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Hez Hunters Rogue 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Freakin Patriot Dash 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Midnight Biscuit 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Flashy Hemp S.) – Flashy Hemp S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wild Train Fortune 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Glamour Dynasty 12.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Patty Wagon Train 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Cool Ya Jets 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 One Sweet Rogue 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Apolitical Queen 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Elegant Blues Girl 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Featured Prospect 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Flying Feather 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Corona Blue Estrella 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Louisiana Juvenile S.) – Louisiana Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gran Corazon 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Thetrainrobbersace 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Xdw Jess a Rogue 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Always Me 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Tac It Blood 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Tc Scootin Aces 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 San Lorenzo Tempted 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Nbc Mr Booz 20.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Dasha Cartel 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 G Amtrak B 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Louisiana Classic S.) – Louisiana Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonin Rusty 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Lett It Happen 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Mr Crawfish 10.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Corona Blue Estrella 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 One Sweet Rogue 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Into the Grey 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 C the Power 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Pk Pure Rogue 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Masseto 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Five Bar Jess Cartel 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Derby) – Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sheza Bye Bye 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 One Sweet Sugar 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Seperate Em Fast 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Moonin Princess 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Apollitical Kate 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Prom Queen Nr 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Jm Texas Blood 10.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Freightless 3.50 7.8 15-1
8 8 Mp Adored 12.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Jp La Fresita 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Derby) – Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hoztile Takeover 1.60 1 2-1
9 9 Eyesa Freighttrain B 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Kp Paintmeasymphony 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Explosive Legend 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 One Cool Corona 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Heza Rip 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Trainarunnin 10.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 The Last Goodbye 20.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 The Knockout Power 6.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Heylemmecallyouback 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
San Lorenzo Jezz 0 0-1
9 9 Golden Answerr 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jess Pretty N Black 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 San Lorenzo Hustle 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 San Lorenzo Jezz 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Rf Imperial Choice 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Beleavin 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Ace Trains R Forever 8.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 San Lorenzo Patrona 8.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Making the Bar 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Carte Blanch 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pilot Perry 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Mammas Royal Flush 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Brigs Dashing Corona 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Duck Duck Go 10.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Catch Some Bux 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Ttt Mr Kas 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Me On Whiskey 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Freightlicious 20.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Empyrical 15.00 9 17-1
10 10 Jess a Heart of Gold 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.