Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 13, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dare to Breeze 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Mischief Maxey 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Bisa 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Amore Sofia 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Gerlin’s Empire 6.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Katerina Ristova 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Mezcalifornia 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Kelso S.) – Kelso S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carl Spackler (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Talk of the Nation 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Call Me Harry 15.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Northern Invader 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Repo Rocks 1.40 SCRATCH
2 2 Mysterious Night (IRE) 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 8 Top Gunner 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Celestial Glaze 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 2 Nelson Avenue 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 I Got No Munny 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Milton the Monster 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Didinger 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Lost in Rome 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Poppy’s Pride 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Illuminare 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Kunshan Bridge 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Agoo 15.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Classic Legacy 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Abadin 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Vinco 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Uncorrelated 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 J D Factor 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Unit Economics (GB) 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Rebel Red (GB) 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Hunt Ball 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 6 Suerte 15.00 2.1 4-1
8 9 Samburu (GB) 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Transactional (GB) 1.20 4.5 9-1
7 8 Ramblin’ Wreck 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Devilsgotacause 20.00 7.2 14-1
12 13 Skylander 10.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Fromanothamutha 5.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Donegal Surges 1.80 SCRATCH
9 10 Notah 8.00 SCRATCH
13 14 Certified Loverboy 2.50 SCRATCH
14 15 Grandpa’s Kid 6.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Greek Order (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 U Should B Dancing 6.00 1 2-1
1 4 Turriga 5.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Act of Congress 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Stolen Future 3.50 2.7 5-1
11 11 Strictly Taboo 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Beach Cruiser 10.00 3 6-1
2 1 Bern Rosey Bern 30.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Fancypants Juliana 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Quick Power Nap 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 City Blocks 30.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Honest Banker 15.00 4.9 9-1
1A 13 Bussia 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 First Class Cat 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sam’s Rocket 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tenacious Leader 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Asleep At Eight 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Munson 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Floodlites 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Moment’s Notice 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Innovator 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Tough Catch 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Devil of Ramadi 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Hurricane Nelson 3.00 1 2-1
4 3 Reynolds Channel 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Light the Way 20.00 3 6-1
7 6 Commuted 5.00 3.4 7-1
11 12 Tapit’staleofverve 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Escondido 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 10 Hedge the Risk 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Upstanding 4.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Point Clear 5.00 6.3 12-1
1A 11 Call Protection 10.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Ready as Ever 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 5 Frostelle 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Phileas Fogg 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Georgie W 8.00 2 4-1
8 8 Irish Aces 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Magical Ways 12.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Space Launch 10.00 3 6-1
9 9 Beuys (IRE) 5.00 4 8-1
10 10 Taking Candy 10.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Bring Me a Check 15.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Mendelssohns March 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 4 Tidal Forces 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Ruse 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Altazor (ARG) 20.00 8.1 15-1
15 16 Synthesis 4.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Runningwscissors 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ocean Atlantique 6.00 SCRATCH
14 15 Costa Terra 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Diana S.) – Diana S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Didia (ARG) 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Moira 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Whitebeam (GB) 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Mission of Joy 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Gina Romantica 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Chili Flag (FR) 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Neecie Marie 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Evvie Jets 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Fluffy Socks 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Coppice (GB) 8.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Venti Valentine 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Sanford S.) – Sanford S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Three Echoes 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Studlydoright 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Mo Plex 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Mr. Squeaky Wheels 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 War Tax 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Soontobeking 20.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Baby Dukes 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Mentee 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dr Oseran 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Heymackit’sjack 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Final Verdict 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Sugar Gray Leonard 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Three Zero 6.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 King Moonracer 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 War Terminator 30.00 6 11-1
3 3 He’s Got It 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Playground Legend 12.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Rithm Nic 4.50 6.1 12-1
10 10 Feathers Road 20.00 6.6 12-1
14 14 Bourbon’s Hope 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tivy 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Magnificent Mile 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Will Be Famous 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Upside Potential 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.