Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sammy Stone | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Smoke | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Killary | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phantom Jewel | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kingscote | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seattle Down Under | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fabelman | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pontiac | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lois Len | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Guroo | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trizzel Trazzel | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blazing Sky | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gabby Squared | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Airy Fairy | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Northern Ruby | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cleomenes | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard to Capture | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spellcheck | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Jade | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy’s Joy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saccharine | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shakshuka | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quest to Be Proud | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McKenzie Road | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nantuckets Day | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vazhi | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Presence | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | In Awe | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roikop | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heliocentric | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Sweets | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Oscar | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All for Honor | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Design Diva | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Just Like That | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sapphire Connect | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crevalle Royale | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skylight Caper | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Demanding | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bright Sunshine | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outforarip | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Xarabella | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | McGill | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crystal Visions | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fanny M | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foxtastic | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Closing Appeal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Emerance | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bolt Enoree | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cry Freedom | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Mayfair | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ecstasy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Destiny Ro | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Flag Flying | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peggy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awasef | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Ellie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elysian Field | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spansive | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Myriskyaffair | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wickenheiser | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talbeyah (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comanche Country (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blueberry Fields | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indy Champagne | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (My Dear S.) – My Dear S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle Bay | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Bound to Be True | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carlisle Bay | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soupergirl | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Need Me | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Obliging | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ambitious Lass | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lithica | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bullet | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willow Oak | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ballade S.) – Ballade S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lantana Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foolish Games | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasure’s Gold | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Music | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Veri Gizmo | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taquanyah | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sacred Dancer | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Talk to Ya Later | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Speedy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Empire’s Treat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blackdiamond Dinny | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Indiana Road | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mardene | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frac Amour | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Queenie | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Hot Shot | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pennyjet | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Port Renfrew | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Out of Poverty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.