Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 25, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Miss C Banker 2.50 1 2-1
5 4 On a Summer Day 12.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Second Chance 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Lady Delilah 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Classicals Finale 20.00 4 8-1
9 9 Lookin to Rock 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 5 Musical Cue 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Heavenly Light 3.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Catalina Fina 20.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Dancing Dakotah 10.00 4.9 9-1
15 15 Early On 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Young At Heart 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Perugia 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 16 Speed and Beauty 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miavana 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mega Changer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Condiment Girl 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Run Devil 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Anotherdaygoneby 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 R Funny Bizness 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mon Petit Chou 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Jolly Miss Jill 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Mucho Mama Mia 10.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Joey the Fish 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hay Stack 4.50 1 2-1
7 8 Idea Generation (IRE) 1.60 2 4-1
8 9 High Stick 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sacred Image 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Boss Lady Bailey 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Mo Shiro 10.00 3.1 6-1
1A 5 In Time (FR) 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 6 Justdeny 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 7 Lullaby Land 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 10 Whistler’s Style 5.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Curlin’s Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
10 11 Golden Degree 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Elle Est Forte 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Pallotta Sisters 1.60 1.6 3-1
5 5 Tap It Up 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Miss Kristy 30.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Next On Stage 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Kannon Fire 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Amity Island 50.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Miss Bonnie T 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Unsolved Mystery 1.40 SCRATCH
1 1 Bengala Joy 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Psychedelic 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Whiskey N Soda 1.00 1 2-1
1A 12 Unlimitedpotential 1.00 1.1 2-1
3 2 Paynter’s Prodigy 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Masterwork 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 October Bliss 12.00 5 10-1
11 11 Jungfrau 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 6 Watch Hill 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Endowed 6.00 6.6 13-1
5 4 Papi On Ice 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 3 Scotto 50.00 SCRATCH
2B 13 Cavendish 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 All the Rage 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Lonely Ride 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dominican Thunder 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shakeitforthebird 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Brink 30.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Buttah 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Man of Mischief 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Big Brown Delivers 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 In the Chase 3.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Bookitwithhaddad 6.00 4.5 8-1
12 12 Solar Glare 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ark Royal 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Play the Gray 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 New Matthew 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Printrack 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Magnolia Midnight 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Dot’s Dollar 4.00 4.3 8-1
1A 7 Got Thunder 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 9 Reddington 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 8 Beachwalker 12.00 6 11-1
1 4 Kingdom 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Rocket and Roll 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Talkin Pharoah 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dolomite 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Better Humor Me 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 La Banquera 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Cruise to Catalina 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Easy Play 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Newsdley 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Big Hazel 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Perpetual Praise 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Caress S. Presented By Albany Med) – Caress S. Presented By Albany Med

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Danse Macabre 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Secret Money 12.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Kaufymaker 4.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Zeitlos 15.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Dontlookbackatall 10.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Star Guest (GB) 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Future Is Now 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Freedom Speaks 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Run for the Hills 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Kerry 30.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Roses for Debra 1.60 SCRATCH
13 13 Everyoneloveslinda 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hot Fudge 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Speedy Traveler 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Koru 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 My Life Story 5.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 English Castle 4.50 3.2 6-1
12 12 Dakota Country 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Miztertonic 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Temple Creed 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Kid Kreesa 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Within View 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Artful Dreamer 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Tiz the Prince 15.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Slow Down Big Andy 50.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Cash Or Chocolate 50.00 13 24-1
13 13 Cash Bail 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sweet Tone 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Judge Rules 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Seventh Race Shake 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.