Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pancho Barnes | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mayacama | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R B’s Tiger | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play My Speed | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maniae | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom’s Star | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Veronica’s Gem | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Laker | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheekiest | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Patriot | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Enticing | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leopardess (GB) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | English Danger | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Temper | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jai Ho | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Disposition | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Girvin | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Muy Muy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolt On the Rocks | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Auditory | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Running Super | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | September Magic | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gift of Time | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Rugelach | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Illhaveanotherkiss | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiergarten | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adelie (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aloha Kitten | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s Got a Way | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Song of Fire | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Please Focus | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sauls Call | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joe Don Looney | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kerry Gold | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Petesoldfashioned | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Windribbon | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Instinct D’ Oro | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lmlooknformischief | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chick’s Dig It | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So I’m Told | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Smiling Beast | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Sir | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Run for Kidder | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Dancin Nick | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Dillon | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Johnson’s Magic | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Evco | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sevak | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Got Soul | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reason to Believe | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | War Is Hell | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Binging | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cali Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Home Gamer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Winds of Freedom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Graduation S.) – Graduation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | R Heisman | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nap | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Infamous Angel | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Case Hit | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bodacious | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timty | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Bad Boy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Call Zondlo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Gypsy Cowboy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Incredible Shot | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mega Moon | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tom and Jazzy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | National Generaux (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Rhythm | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Explain This Audit | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Phoenician Ghost | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Catcher | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kimmer | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | John Dunbar | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fireman Dan | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Circleofchampions | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.