Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forward Move | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beary Funny | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aleah Aleah | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solo’s Fury | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Messi the Magician | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J J Valentin | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Night Effect | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 3 | Tommy Two Socks | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Dillinger | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Master of Arms | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Clubhouse | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Night Effect | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Debate | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Sin Nombre | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Unclecharliesgift | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Spring Magic | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritual Lady | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Fullmoonmagic | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Book of Wisdom | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Starry Midnight | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Balenciaga Betty | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dolce Sera | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Belle of the Ball | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Karen’s Honor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 11 | Rider’s Special | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Kunshan Bridge | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Pogi | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Papa Rocket | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nolo Contesto | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Charging Aero | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2B | 9 | Ryan’s Cat | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | Kant Beat the Rock | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bourbon’s Hope | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Market Alert | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Super Chief | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Sands Point S.) – Sands Point S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Style Points | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Spaliday | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Style Points | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Fox Givin | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courbe | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macanga | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Justdeny | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shade of Pale | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Music | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Audacious | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Keewaydin | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Volt | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Nelson | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Antisocial | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Insel | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skyrush | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | A. P. Kid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stars and Stripes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Take Home the Cup | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Floral Park S.) – Floral Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Appeals | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risk Threshold (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loon Cry | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Money | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Kentucky Girl | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Walk | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cecile | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tequilera | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Everyoneloveslinda | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Howboutdemapples | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hot Fudge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dream Concert | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mohawk Trail | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Security Code | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bettrluckythangood | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Clear Conscience | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Let’s Go Big Blue | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rabaja | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Agent Creed | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Locke and Key | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gem Mint Ten | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Union Trail | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Born Dancer | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Laurel Valley | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runningwscissors | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Call Me Harry | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 13 | Coinage | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Baldizar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rocketeer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Escalation Clause | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pentathlon | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | General Banker | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Certified Loverboy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mama’s Gold | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colloquy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jackson Heights | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asmodeus | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Splashy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Addagirl Addie | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Better Be Smart | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top of the Table | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Superstarsusan | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Uproar | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boston Strong Mama | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Repeat After Me | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freud’s Fancy | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chili Bean | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maxing the Bank | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Corri Felice | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Artistic Success | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lu’s Redemption | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Majulu | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Focus Pocus | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atomic Age | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Davy Crockett | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | English Law | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atomic Age | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Warden | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dragoneer | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Freedom | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strategist | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laird of Magnolia | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Merlot | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Snookie Bear | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dominican Pirate | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tom’s Way | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Freedom Glider | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.