Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cover the Spread | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Ensign | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Momma’s Lino | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Next Girl | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fivecommatwo | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Please Marry Me | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Glossamer | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honor the Truth | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daily Planet | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doesn’thurttoflirt | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mosler’s Image | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Put a Rock On It | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Police Woman | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maryland Million Nursery S.) – Maryland Million Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Do It for Michael | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Thunder | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kerness K | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Re Markably | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Say Me True | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All the Hardways | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Sebastian | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barbadian Runner | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Quality | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maryland Million Ladies S.) – Maryland Million Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Circle Home | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juniper Juice | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Downtown Katie | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Active | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kobe’s Smile | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atlas Strong | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Next Episode | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Precious Avary | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cut From Class | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gold Digging Broad | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Italian War Cry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Don’t Tell Deren | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lifelovenlaughter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Naval Empire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Devil Pays in Gold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bandits Warrior | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Isabella’s Glory | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Pudd’n N Pie | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proper Attire | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Charm | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Utterly Enchanting | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Preparefortakeoff | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forgotten Gift | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Concrete Faze | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Molly of Stratford | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Determined Blue | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Temper | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Buckin’ Lucky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hunter Joe | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Last Scip | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twist ‘n Twirl | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silverbullettwenty | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fightnomoreforever | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Guaponess | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond the Pale | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Samui Sunset | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Class Wizard | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Omar Comin | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master of None | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Power Back | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maryland Million Lassie S.) – Maryland Million Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Onyx Ten | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Biscuitwiththeboss | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Safe Trust | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Malibu Hooch | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Need to Ask | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Divine Works | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eccentric | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shkhara Fire | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Itsamonstamash | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rapido Rosa | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hiya Love | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Persian | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Great Andrei | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maryland Million Turf S.) – Maryland Million Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sports Editor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sky’s Not Falling | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riccio | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starstruck Notion | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodbye Note | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Copper | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crabs N Beer | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hanksdiviningrod | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vax a Nation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mission North | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maryland Million Sprint S.) – Maryland Million Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Band Camp | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Contender | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johnyz From Albany | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alwaysinahurry | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catahoula Moon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seven’s Eleven | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freeze the Fire | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arden’sluckytobe | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Mamba | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take a Hint | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Circle P | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maryland Million Turf Sprint S.) – Maryland Million Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whenigettoheaven | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Witty | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Idea | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bosserati | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Had to Have Him | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fun Notion | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Katie’s Notion | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beltane | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blame the Tux | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz No Clown | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Benny Havens | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sue Loves Barbados | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | S S Sinatra | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maryland Million Distaff S.) – Maryland Million Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Bon Bay | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sheilahs Warcloud | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mattitude | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kissedbyanangel | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Foxy Junior | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Talk to the Judge | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spencerian | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Moonshine | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mavilus | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | I Can Do It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bella Bettina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Beauty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | I’m Gittin There | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Brzina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Binnie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Miss Harriett | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maryland Million Classic S.) – Maryland Million Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Brilliant Ice | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Feeling Woozy | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mosler Time | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Lance | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crossland | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vance Scholars | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Market Maven | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hittheroadjak | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dolice Vita | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mugatu | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Excellorator | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Goodafternoonoscar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Rad Paisley | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Warlock | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Must Be Love | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alvy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clubman | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In the Dance | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Paco the Taco Man | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bigdaddysboy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quincannon | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rhumjar | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Child | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Lad | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Inside Stunt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Synonym | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Order Ofthe Kettle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.