Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Projection | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Spark | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miami Moonlight | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fight’n Ready | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Special Memory | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barefoot Samurai | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Mountain | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Cappen | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shesgotspirit | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Willa | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Predicting | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anna Up | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Yellowstone | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prossimo | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | O S U Budke | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Faith | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Supercents | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kimbell’s Strategy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Connection | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poet Laureate | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Its My Money Too | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Basket Case | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pearly | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Courtney Fay | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Go Lauren Go | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imamidnightspecial | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belleria Baby | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Presleys Volley | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Penny Powers | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Eye Super Fly | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Words | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Right Cider | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legend’s Journey | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cherokee Will | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tigersaurus Rex | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Time | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mission Lockout | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pevs Billy Bayou | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krushour | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Need Alittle Magic | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Daring Reason | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Tavern | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Appleseed | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Passion of Joe’s | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smackdown | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clearwater Sunset | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Clubman | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Won Ninety | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Secret Verse | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Callitfateluckarma | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raspberry Martini | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucy’s Halo | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Secret Code | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crown Thyme Queen | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desired Fantasies | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Camelia | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bad Sneakers | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lea Me Be | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Larry | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heir to Greatness | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stellar Tap | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Axton | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Laridae | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobwhite Bobby | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colonel Barton | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glory O | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maybe Dolcie | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gray Zone | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fella’s Sister | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gospel B. Havior | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girls Got Game | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miz Rithym | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.