Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Breezy Blue | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naturally Blonde | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play My Speed | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Practical Dazzle | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Made to Move | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Omen | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Patron d’Oro | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasin Munny | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soul of Midnight | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joe Don Looney | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Vibes Only | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Love | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wegonahavagoodtime | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Simply Enchanting | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cast Member | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jubilant Joanie | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cavalieri | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Diva | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Bring Crazy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perfect in Gray | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Respect the Crown | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Annie Fox | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Like No Other | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talent for Gold | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yo Yo Mama | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sapadilla | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Old Pal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eye On Ry | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reiquist | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Escape Artist | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calm Sea | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Coast | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rio Del Sol | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Light | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wren | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boujee Beach | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Howin | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aransas Pass | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Chic | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watershed Moment | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cornelia Fort | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Fire | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Claypoole (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hannah Buckle (IRE) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Hy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mahina | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montjica (FR) | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Brightside (IRE) | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Meagher (IRE) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mirahmadi | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abitmischievous | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Rocks | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harry Houdini | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arabian Flirt | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wise Counsel | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brave Blend | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shofner | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magnify | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (California Distaff H.) – California Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stay and Scam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Slam Smile | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Summer | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Bar Gal | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sassy Nature | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Maddox | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rebalation | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prancingthruparis | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chismosa | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Andiamo Ragazza | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Back On Track | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 98 | Shamrockin | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.