Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Will Reign 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Motown Funk 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Ruthless Action 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Sultry Sophie 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Bedtime 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Lady On the Nile 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Bit of Music 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spellcheck 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Golden Boss 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Whiskey N Ice 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Pretty Good Joke 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Reverse Psychology 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Arctic Blonde 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Tentomidnight 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Linda’s Opal 5.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Conquer the Storm 20.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Lillz Star 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fanny M 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Dialedinwitha D 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Ami’s Cry 10.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Crystal Water 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Super Serenade 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Malibu Betty 12.00 7 13-1
10 10 No Malarkey 20.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Black Goddess 15.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Imperial Trick 20.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Dancetotherhythm 12.00 10.3 19-1
4 4 The Scarlet Tiara 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Joya de Oro 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mrs. C 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Twisted Romance 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Genius of Love 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Miramichi 2.50 7 13-1
2 2 Prima 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 You Be the Judge 12.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Unheard 10.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Grey Dragon 3.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cara Cara 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Life’s Joy 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Perhaps Tonight (IRE) 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Ol’ Blondie 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Verdejo 3.50 6.1 12-1
5 5 Chromeplated Heart 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Flowers ‘n Berries 10.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Sacred Dancer 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Sunny Valentine 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Society’s Kat 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Greavette 20.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Hot Cargo 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 Jokes Up 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Veery 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 I’m Into Mischief 4.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Anam Cara 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Clarayouthebest 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Ontario Damsel S.) – Ontario Damsel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Witwatersrand 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Airosa 15.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Gild the Lily 20.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Yatta 6.00 2.3 4-1
13 13 Managing Mischief 20.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Pendulum 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Ecstasy 12.00 4 8-1
10 10 Ready for Shirl 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Distorted d’Oro 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Calle Amada 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Crevalle d’Oro 3.50 6.2 12-1
12 12 Destiny Star 5.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Ontario 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Ontario Fashion S. Presented By Tanqueray) – Ontario Fashion S. Presented By Tanqueray

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ticker Tape Home 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Ro Town 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Swall 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Beauty of the Sea 3.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Love to Shop 4.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Tripolina 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Star Candy 6.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 A Game 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Owen’s Tour Guide 10.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Blind Spot 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Niagara Skyline 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Ironstone 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Volcanic 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Twin City 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Secret Reserve 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Journeyman 3.50 4 8-1
3 3 Tosen Wish (IRE) 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Crumlin Lad 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wildfire 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Crimson Nights 15.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Zeena Swift 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Momunnyfor Ro 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Super Sicily 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Great Kate 3.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Trick and Treat 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 That Girl Artemus 12.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Iron Pyrite 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Zoning Order 20.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Rocket Riley 6.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.