Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 13, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Quarter Rat 0 0-1
6 6 Hanks 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Taysom 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Gobot 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 It’s a Bird 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Quarter Rat 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Brilliant Colors 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Golduster 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Shankinstine 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tensas Lu Lu 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Cankton’s Cowgirl 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Two Jet 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Cajun Catalina 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Bind On Earth 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Sarah’s Court 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Gotteminabind 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Takeover Queen 15.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Suzy Doll’s Ready 15.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 Miss Target 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lord Harmony 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Light Face 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Kisster 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Girl From de Bayou 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 La Deal 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 C. F. Tinny Deal 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Aubree’s Halo 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 La Nina Dorada 5.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 F J’s Chaos 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 She’s Got a Secret 12.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Double Cute 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Flat Out Runner 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cajun Cyclone 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Lucky Moon Dog 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 G’s Storm 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Older and Wiser 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Itellyouthefacts 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Heza Sexy Zong 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Kit Kat Kidd 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Byathread 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Holiday Diamond 15.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 Stone Alliance 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Half a Buck 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flawless Takeover 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Acela Express 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Mischief Angel 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Bold Exaggeration 2.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Emityaaz 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Akiane’s Soldier 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Miss Darlene 6.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Sienna Breeze 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Bertie’s Cause 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Show Me the Candy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sammy Danseur Jr. 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bayou Jam 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Sir Eli 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sadie’s Light 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Hostile Afleet 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Affirm Chief 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Military Bearing 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Fahan 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Friend Amy 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Another Hot Mess 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Lady Dreamer 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Tipsy Gal 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Fired Up Tiger 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Twirling Tigress 10.00 4 7-1
1 1 Majestic Ways 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Whatdidwedo 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Velocidad 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Brandon’s Best 15.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 My Uncle Billy 4.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Iceteca 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Chief Harlan 3.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Watch the Coast 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Malibu Money 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Astroneer 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Kats Pick 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Misterholyroller 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.