Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Avoir 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Gem Mine 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Long Mayshe Reign 4.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Jai Ho 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Activated (IRE) 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Toulouse Detrac 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Smooth as Butter 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 With Love (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Don’t Ju Forget 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Splendora 0.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Don’t Bring Crazy 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Uffda 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Nokie 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sarwar (FR) 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Escape Artist 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Reiquist 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Castle Leoch 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Living Life 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Red Cross Knight 3.00 5 9-1
4 4 Jimmy Blue Jeans 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Arrowthegreat 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cloudy Rose 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Grazen Gator 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Apple Valley Girl 8.00 2 4-1
8 8 Newport Dreamz 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Expect Love 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Going With Her 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Skylight Ride 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Lucky Sermon 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Ryan’s Girl 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 My Lovely Lydia 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dettori 0 0-1
1 1 Supersonic Blue 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dirty Words 12.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Dettori 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Fomo Joe 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Catch the Breeze 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Going Viral 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Springs 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Yourcuznfromboston 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Lucky Choices 30.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Prank Zappa 20.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Soul Music 30.00 4.4 8-1
13 13 Soi Ngern 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Cajun Gold 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Abazaami (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Curvino 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Rank 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Day and Age 10.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Brother Tony 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Mellencamp 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Grinnell 15.00 3 6-1
3 3 Journalism 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Zabo 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Spun Not Stirred 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Toppers At Seaside 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Lolo Le Plume 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mubtadaa 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 El Potente 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Zio Jo 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Old Pal 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Packs a Wahlop 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Irish Prophet 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Mas Rapido (GB) 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Storm the Court 30.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Lord Bullingdon 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bob Hope S.) – Bob Hope S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 McKinzie Street 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kalea Bay 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Bullard 1.60 1.1 2-1
6 6 Maximus 15.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Madaket Road 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Dr Ruben M 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Run for My Honey 0 0-1
Annie’s Joy 0 0-1
4 3 Annie’s Joy 8.00 1 2-1
2 1 Cameron Slough 5.00 2.4 5-1
11 10 September Magic 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Katerini 4.00 2.4 5-1
9 8 Ketonia (FR) 4.50 2.9 5-1
8 7 Rashmi 2.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Princess Midnight 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Solid Tune 30.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Super Enticing 20.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Run for My Honey 20.00 5 10-1
1 98 Beauty N the Bolt 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.