Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Take Time to Dream | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Independent | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harper Be Good | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Made Birdie | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burning Embers | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khozy Colby | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Java’s Lucky Lady | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aztec Bay | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Raichu | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Far Heart | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bahamian Baby | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paint Me Beautiful | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Incan Moon Goddess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Diz | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamingoffreedom | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Picardy | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey and Rain | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Norho’s Gamble | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jump a Fox | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Somethingtosay | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moose Mandy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gortreagh Gal | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Delicious Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Missuptowntoodelou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hotpot | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spotted Bull | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reckless Place | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Chazz | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hide the Ransom | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Andrew | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empire’s Score | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Grayt Pumpkin | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mayday Mayhem | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adeleke | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mikey’s Song | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Side Up | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neighbelline | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Diva | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Emily’s On Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Angel of Hope | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Winning Play | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deadly Angel | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Banba | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Casa Juanita | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Joyful Joyce | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Justified | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Cocoa Bean | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Browneyedvalentine | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Up N Runnin | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Whiner | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Addieaddiebobaddie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Laugh Like Lucy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Swift Tap | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runyonesque | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rejected Again | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Stardom | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Now | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disturbed | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Devils Child | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swing Oil | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manolito | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock On Luke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Happily Delusional | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play the Gray | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alchemism | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buy Tom a Beer | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kakao | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | River’s Gamble | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Images | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foil | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | True Phenomenon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alcala | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Missy Sixtysix | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Civil Notion | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amy Mule | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Center Stage | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonesome Boy | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Irish Exit | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The King Cheek | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treble Clef | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chelonian | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lonesome Boy | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Hustle | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roan Mountain | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nifty | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ron Don Scorese | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Olympic Romp | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pit Boss | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Olympic Romp | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Afy Kid | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jacohare | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Promise | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dad’s On a Roll | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Teewinot Pass | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Marco | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.