Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 22, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miz Mastery 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Superhero 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Star Apriority 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Mystic Hope 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 We Call Him Doc 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Summer Reunion 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Seeking the Game 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 B D Primary Ours 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Run Dreaming 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Overcast 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Circle Up 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Molto Vino 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Bikini Bottom 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Talkabout 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Unlucky in Love 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Uno Pea 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Molli Way 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tap the Tequila 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Nickel 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Sweet Talkin Slick 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Dewclaw 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Patience Will Pay 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 My Special Star 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Jacque Couteau 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Customerunhappy 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gypsy Jackpot 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Holiday Double 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lexi’s Fury 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sugar Cane Gal 4.00 4 7-1
8 8 Long Shot Louise 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Oak Hill Seniorita 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 My Idea 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Daddy’s Cinderella 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Galaxy Affair 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Patio’s Porch 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Speightful One 2.50 2.2 4-1
11 11 Calibrachoamatters 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Hello Hello Mister 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Supreme Capo 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Truvy’s Bandit 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Empty Holster 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Arkansas Zong 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Wesleyan 20.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Texas Turbine 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Goldenlute 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stephs Coast 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Time to Close 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Waaboo 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Quiet Melody 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Balitrix 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Gritty Tornado 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Surprise Sunrise 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Mr Lee’s Princess 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Stolen Bullet 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Strong Promise 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Big Chopper 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Bertie’s Galaxy 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Stovall 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Half Full 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Marks Promise 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Wild Bert 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Black Sword 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Sign of War 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Muffin Nuts 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bubba’s Reckless 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Real Action 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Dancin With Angels 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Motawaafeq 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Stomping Hotrod 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Jazzy Justin 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Hyperbolist 3.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Easy Big Boy 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 My Uncle Leon 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Special Strike 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Jenny’s Day 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Run Reckless Run 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Half an Apple 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 She’s a Target 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Miss Cheese Bread 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Moment to Preach 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 R T’s Star 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Ranologist 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 What’s Up Bertie 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.