Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Miz Mastery |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Superhero |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Star Apriority |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mystic Hope |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
We Call Him Doc |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Summer Reunion |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Seeking the Game |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
B D Primary Ours |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Run Dreaming |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Overcast |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Circle Up |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Molto Vino |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bikini Bottom |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Talkabout |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Unlucky in Love |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Uno Pea |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Molli Way |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tap the Tequila |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Nickel |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Talkin Slick |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dewclaw |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Patience Will Pay |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Special Star |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jacque Couteau |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Customerunhappy |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gypsy Jackpot |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Holiday Double |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lexi’s Fury |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sugar Cane Gal |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Long Shot Louise |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oak Hill Seniorita |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Idea |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Daddy’s Cinderella |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Galaxy Affair |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Patio’s Porch |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Speightful One |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Calibrachoamatters |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hello Hello Mister |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Supreme Capo |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Truvy’s Bandit |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Empty Holster |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arkansas Zong |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wesleyan |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Texas Turbine |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Goldenlute |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Stephs Coast |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Time to Close |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Waaboo |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Quiet Melody |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Balitrix |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gritty Tornado |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Surprise Sunrise |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr Lee’s Princess |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stolen Bullet |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Strong Promise |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Chopper |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bertie’s Galaxy |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stovall |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Half Full |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Marks Promise |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wild Bert |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Black Sword |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sign of War |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Muffin Nuts |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bubba’s Reckless |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Real Action |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dancin With Angels |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Motawaafeq |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stomping Hotrod |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jazzy Justin |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hyperbolist |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Easy Big Boy |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Uncle Leon |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Special Strike |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Jenny’s Day |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Run Reckless Run |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Half an Apple |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
She’s a Target |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Cheese Bread |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moment to Preach |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
R T’s Star |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ranologist |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
What’s Up Bertie |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.