Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 22, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
J Z’s First 0 0-1
8 8 Miss Distinctive 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Quilting Party 15.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 J Z’s First 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Lily’s Creed 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Roll Gypsy Roll 4.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Seriously Sassy 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 No Cost 6.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 No Nannette No 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Averi Ever After 8.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Macee 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mischief’s Machine 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mark the Moose 10.00 2.2 4-1
13 13 Bling’s Bellwether 12.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Paddy’s House 3.50 3.1 6-1
10 10 B W P Spirit 12.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Deep State 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Glenn’s Jumper 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Julia’s Warrior 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Grand Design 20.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Jacked 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Schnell 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Tappin Fora Dance 30.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 River Raft 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Glendale 0 0-1
6 6 Sailing Solo 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Richiesgotgame 4.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Wicked Trick 8.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Niles Channel 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Z Z’s Prince 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Deccan Prince (IRE) 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Sendero 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Glendale 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 He Gots to Go 12.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 El Perfecto 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Lil Bro Coop 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Brit’s Wit 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Spectrier 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Thundering Desire 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mikkisonthinice 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Thats Unbelievable 12.00 2 4-1
7 7 Fast Flame 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Canal Street 5.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Deal With It 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Vanna G 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Show’ Em Nola 30.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Moonie Pie 6.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Global Value 20.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Wickedrevolution 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Twang 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Joseph R. Peluso Memorial S.) – Joseph R. Peluso Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Louisiana Jess 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tdz Hint of Power 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Voila Magic 1.80 2.4 4-1
5 5 Hay Jude 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 A Million Moons 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Hawija 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Deal Em Justice 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Star’s Image 0 0-1
2 2 Good to Be Prince 20.00 1 2-1
10 10 Tested 20.00 3 6-1
11 11 Time to Collect 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Foligno 3.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Star’s Image 4.50 6.8 13-1
9 9 Frosty Blue 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 El Maximo 6.00 8 15-1
8 8 Otter Creek 12.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Thermoscat 10.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Face the Future 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Dan d’Oro 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Natural Rights 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Delmar R. Caldwell Memorial S.) – Delmar R. Caldwell Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Manama Gold 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Six String 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Free Drop Maddy 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Noneya 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Freeburn 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Sweet Alexis 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Spirited Beauty 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Don’tcallmepatsy 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Lil Chilly 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Boltage 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 American Hope 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tough Little Nut 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sovereigns Joy 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Mi Solution 6.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Write Off Jerry 6.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Wicked Rose 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Sand Pipes 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 C’Est Magnifique 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Carthage Cajun 20.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Maasai Warrior 20.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Flying Houdini 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 News At Nine 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bolt From Above 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Malibu Rain 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Devilsgotacause 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Call Me Susan 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 She’s a Bandit 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Classic Embrace 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Powdered Sugar 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Gloryland 12.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Lola and Rose 12.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Blue Fire 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Platinum Midnight 12.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Liam’s Mist 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Masonetta 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 All You 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Kinsley Grace 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.