Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 23, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bank Frenzy 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gun It 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Seeking Unity 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Classic Legacy 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Celestial Moon 3.50 3.7 7-1
1A 6 Magnolia Midnight 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 2 Scaramanga 1.40 1 2-1
6 7 Super Chief 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Poppy’s Pride 1.40 3.8 7-1
4 5 Jemography 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 4 Fiery Heart 8.00 4 8-1
2 3 Cold as Hell 2.00 4.5 8-1
5 6 Dreampoint 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rock the Weekend 0 0-1
1A 6 Land d’Oro 2.00 1 2-1
2 1 Kolomio 5.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Liberty Central 1.20 1.3 3-1
1 3 Final Denile 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 2 Petrolo 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Hagrid’s Flame 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 7 Rock the Weekend 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 8 A Lister 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Just Clarity 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 King Phoenix 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Lucky Dragon 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Run With Honor 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Klimt Master 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Twohonestmischief 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Gunman Jayvo 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Renew the Blue 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lets Fight 15.00 1 2-1
12 12 Volatile Situation 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Sir Kartrite 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 A Million Stories 12.00 4 8-1
11 11 Fines Creek 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 John’s in Charge 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Outsource 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Skytown 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Riff 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Chief Liam 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Roofer 10.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Frame Up 50.00 10.8 20-1
13 13 Centaur Central 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Dead Aim 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Styner 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 6 Ski Country 3.00 2 4-1
8 9 Cumberland Blues 2.50 2.4 4-1
1 4 Arrebato 3.00 5 9-1
4 3 Mystic Night 4.50 5.2 10-1
2 1 Winter’s Ghost 6.00 6 11-1
7 8 Mr. Swagger 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 7 Co Conspirator 30.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Strong Light 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Athena Beach 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Khali Magic 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Golden Rocket 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Sunday Girl 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 My Shea D Lady 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Lisa’s Vision 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Brown Suga Babe 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Light Man 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Antonio of Venice 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Dr. Kraft 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Doc Sullivan 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Cicciobello 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 General Banker 3.50 6.8 13-1
2 2 B D Saints 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Kaz Sugar Bank 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Wave 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lightning Mama 4.50 2.2 4-1
12 12 Run Don’t Walk 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Ah Ca Ira 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Just Words 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Evelyn’s War 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Notmysteppingstone 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Hey Maggie 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Rodeo Star 3.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Infastuation 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Puttin in the Work 15.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 T D Magee 30.00 9 17-1
13 13 Instant Vision 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.