Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cyprus Moon |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blissterinthesun |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Current Affair |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Mandalay (GB) |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tahiti Iti |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Voyage |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sparrow |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Noble Minded |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Post Game |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Romanesque |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stargell |
3.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rodriguez |
2.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Last Straw |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Crazy Cavalier |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
San Anton (IRE) |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crazy Cavalier |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Eligio |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Certitude (FR) |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Osage Creek |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chipper Me Timbers |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stick Shift |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ocala Kid |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Come On Buddy |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Wendelssohn |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mici’s Express |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bolt At Midnight |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Speed Grazy |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
J B Strikes Back |
1.40 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coalinga Road |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Lonesome Stew |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rexford |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Without Borders |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gregory’s Pride |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kid Azteca |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rhythem On Stage |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lite Ranchin Kid |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bee Catcher |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Disobey |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Yacowlef (IRE) |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mayacama |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiz Lissett |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pondicherry |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Miche Lada |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Uptown Preacher |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Diva Cat |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Copperhead Fever |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Capital Outlay |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Double Jab |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Supernal |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rachel’s Coach |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Geezer |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Devil Be Me |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Refocus |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chromeflash |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince Prancealot |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uncle John |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
13 |
12 |
Square Cat |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
13 |
Forgiving Spirit |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
11 |
McGregor Lake |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
98 |
Piper’s Causeway |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Native Diver S.) – Native Diver S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mixto |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ultra Power |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Skinner |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tarantino |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mirahmadi |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Salesman (IRE) |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
English Icon |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
My Hero |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Malibu Rocks |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Divisible By |
8.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
English Icon |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dairago (FR) |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mysterious Husband |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spearfish |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Over the Ocean |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nassau Circle |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Hero |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
12 |
11 |
Call Sign Seven |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Midnight Strike |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
11 |
98 |
Just Before Dawn |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
12 |
Travail |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
98 |
Final Edition (IRE) |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.