Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All About Tonite | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | All About Tonite | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Talk of the Town | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiverton | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoothdini | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Itzcoatl | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hexcel | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outworkallday | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tigger Attack | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tap On By | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Cut | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joeybones | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | All Saints | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Court Jester | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tussling Charlie | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Passing Judgment | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Great Coolness | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mokings | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Check Me Out | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cypress Gold | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fran’s Star | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jackson D | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Single Shot | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Star Byfar | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Go Brother Go | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Knockalittlelouder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Oak Hill Lg | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | American Dollars | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | House Bourbon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S.) – Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Faith | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Justice | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Princess | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Rags | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Precious Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Quite the Catch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Serving Time (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Give Her Another | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Small Town Heroine | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Commanded | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maria Moon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flintlock | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kissin Riches | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elite Heat (GB) | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beamer | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Terra Bella | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coeur Rouge | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Four Grand | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Shot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Escovedo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Funny Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Make a Million | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Acknowledge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rayden and Remi | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Water Tester | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blondate | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cajun Coaster | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | M L Brody’s Gem | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Corporal Paul | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mardi Gras Empire | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gabbys Bling | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hesper | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Randy Daytona | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Final Half | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Dubaian Money | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gold Thief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jonas Grumby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Distorted d’Oro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Austere | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Trail Ridge Road | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gavea (GER) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paint Me Perfect | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jocasta | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gastown | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Class | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Embrace Me | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Inventing | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Jeopardy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Strike When Ready | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Andrew Ney Memorial S.) – Andrew Ney Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Not On Herb | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hi Yah | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Geaux Sugar | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Dinero | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clear as a Bele | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bron and Brow | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mike J | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sono | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boo | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tdzshininluckystar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Jacob V. Morreale Memorial S.) – Jacob V. Morreale Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allnight Moonlight | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 10 | 10 | Highland Creek | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Behemah Star | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allnight Moonlight | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tdzshininluckystar | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Benoit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Cheese | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cosmic Train | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mangum | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wise Verdict | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jeffrow | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Create Trouble | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evan Harlan | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Out of Deductions | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Verstappen | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ole Crazy Bone | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocean City | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gray’s Fable | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chrome Baby | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Who Took the Money | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highestdistinction | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Masqueparade | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Howling Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Machine Gun Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kennel Club | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (John Valene Memorial S.) – John Valene Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Free Like a Girl | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lightofmaine | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Farmer | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clearly a Test | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highly Wicked | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wonderrand | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Accommodate Eva | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Olivia G | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saved by Grace | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vale Male | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.