Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grand Crossing | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prancing Spirit | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Wave | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Found Grace | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Security Detail | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Very Sweet | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dillinger | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forward Move | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Java Buzz | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tommy Two Socks | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laser Sharp | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hatch | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cha Cha Wren | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin to Rock | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Dakotah | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vino Paella | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dear John | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Luna Mia | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laguardia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timia | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Playful Lass | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timia | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace and Grit | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bernieandtherose | 0.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misseliofwar | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Selectively Sweet | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome Force | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Prairie Dunes | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trulli Warrior | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raleigh St. Clair | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Just Be Honest | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Limits of Power | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Shear Magic | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | This Time Yes | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Force | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Runnin’ Ray | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | Runnin’ Ray | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Khafre | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Flying | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | First Glimpse | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Beachwalker | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | J J’s Joker | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Bold Victory | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Allaboutthemoney | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Surveillance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bramito | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full Moon Madness | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Glaze | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ridgewood Runner | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bolt of Aurum | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thin White Duke | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Tabeguache | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winit | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Instant Coffee | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheriff Bianco | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Costa Terra | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disarmed | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thin White Duke | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Augustine Red | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Squints | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neuschwanstein | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heard On Thestreet | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indianquest | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sin Nombre | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dads Good Runner | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steady Progress | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.