Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Emilyhasherturn | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Moon | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jaydyn Cat | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sum Charm | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steal Me Over | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Necaise | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taken It | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Imma Madi Tue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lemon Sohn | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Blue Chair Bay | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Scheme | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sand Cast | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Muheet | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Deep Manhattan | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Infinite Luck | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Mo | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Che (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ambridge | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon Sohn | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tom’s Magic | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila n’ Salt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kenmore West | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aztec Gem | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doolgaroux | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Who Is Chief | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Wildlife | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Good | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nippy Star | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | For Love and Honor | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Shiro | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime Lady | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Bar | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dona Illusion | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ms. Lilibet | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Past Tense | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hauntress | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Graceleadsushome | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doesn’thurttoflirt | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Blue Heavenly | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Claire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Midsummer March | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broadway Pearl | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Mo Smoking | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ground Control | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sabra Tuff | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sue’s Little Zing | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Pearl | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Betsy’s All In | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pat Hand Girl | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Izzy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sacred Saint | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Afternoon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blameitonbourbon | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Boss of All Bosses | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fleming | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | States’ Rights | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Executor | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curahee | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clapping | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Keep Looking | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Look to the Cross | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shoot the Nickel | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magnolia West | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | He’s a Fine Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Capable | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Cyclone | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zoom | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Map of Donegal | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chases Magic | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sight | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Famous Highway | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tresillian | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Spun to Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady On | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 13 | 13 | Smokey Mandate | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Realignment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Steady On | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Berrettini | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Higgins Boat | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Road | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Recker Point | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eff Thirty Five | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gentle Soul | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Le Gris | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of the Palace | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Runnin Munnin | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Righthere Rightnow | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cascade Cruiser | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Battle Scars | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Alex Joon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Thanksgiving Classic S.) – Thanksgiving Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Komorebino Omoide (JPN) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Champlin | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Flag | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Donegal Clan | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miles Ahead | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bo Cruz | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Montalcino | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minnesota Ready | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Happy American | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Heist | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Mischief | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alvarado Cat | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nine Part | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Benji Star | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starry Eyed | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yockey’s Drivethru | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gem Buoy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Givemeasecond | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Le Monstre Rapide | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Knight | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Garfish | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Party At Jays | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Petitfor | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.