Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golden Sunset | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bedtime | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Cleopatra | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Workout Affair | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pookieslookingfire | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s So Croatian | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Pal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Fortune | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cadfael | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Town’s Warrior | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enchant Me | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Orphan Hallie | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ry Pie | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wet and Wild | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frac Right | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dryden | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He Shoots He Wins | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Jereem | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adelaide Court | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Marshall | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Herethereverywhere | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crystal Water | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Someday Girl | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Still Dancing | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sinful Forester | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maryland Spirit | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Serenade | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Ozege | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speight Rasees | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danish Cookie | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Realloveislucky | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Boss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy’s Affair | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Unheard | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Token | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Freeze | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ami’s Girl | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peak Earnings (GB) | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storms of Life | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Sip Sally | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. C | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prima | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bedazzle Me | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Pyrite | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Olympic Fencer | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blameless Ghost | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Giffen | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cymbal Court | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacred Dancer | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Mercury | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veri Gizmo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Makes a Point | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Izatiz | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Dancer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Image | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Hay Paula | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Primo Touch | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Alliance | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forester Humor | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper River | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Under Surveillance | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commander Joe | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Banker’s Hours | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mexicoffee | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucys Child | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Executive Search | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dream On Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dancin’ Deputy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.