Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Grey Ace 0 0-1
4 4 Math Tutor 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Apple Jax 2.00 2 4-1
1 3 Georgia Magic 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Grey Ace 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Munden 4.00 3.7 7-1
1A 8 Griffin’s Wharf 2.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Seeker’s Hope 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Cada Dia Mejor 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Accelerina 0 0-1
8 8 Baroness Bourbon 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Duchess of Destin 3.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Lady Laoban 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lem Me Drink 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Big Hazel 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Accelerina 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Alley’s Song 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Jay’s Love 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Burning Munny 0 0-1
5 5 One Vision 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Papa Paulie P 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Damage 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Monomoy Beach 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Burning Munny 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Big Dosser 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 I’m Solo N in Love 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Whiskey Frens 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 J D Factor 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Messi the Magician 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Scat Tu Tap 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Violent Swing 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Your Mission 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Alpha Sonny 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Union Express 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Prince of Truth 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gaga’s Hamsome 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Central Casting 3.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Melancia 2.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Yayi Nikolle 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Esther’s Salad 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Lady of Mercia 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Aerialist 10.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 R Special 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Houlton 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Accidental Bid 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Good as He Gets 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 True Connection 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Glint 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Creek 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 First Trumpet 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Active Duty 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Fall Highweight S.) – Fall Highweight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Giant Mischief 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Dean Delivers 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Top Gunner 5.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Super Chow 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Runninsonofagun 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Baby Yoda 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Twenty Four Mamba 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Downtownchalybrown 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Witty 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Lady Mine 1.60 1 2-1
1 3 Sarir 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Patty Brown Eyes 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Gorgeous Girl 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 8 Killy Start 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Patricia Ann 3.00 4.5 9-1
6 7 My Girl Jal 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Gridlock 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Barnstorming 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Confabulation 3.50 1.9 4-1
10 10 Uncorrelated 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Register 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Tomacon 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Az U Chase Me 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Victory Dash 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Noble Huntsman 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Berning Beauty 20.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Frizzante 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.