Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Triple L’s Shadow |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saint Cecile |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
F J’s Warrior |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gottotry Mischief |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marielita |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sigarra |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sammy Sam Sam |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sarah’s Court |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Won Day |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Hopper |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ourperfectprincess |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mamba Out |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cranky Sheila |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Toni’s Inferno |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Poppa Magic |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pegaso |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cunimbus |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
It’s a Secret |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Island Cabana |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blume |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zestiny |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Prince Perfecta |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Avery’s Gem |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Craftroom |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tap Iron Fist |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baby Jane |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Triple Four |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coal Dancer |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chickietown Star |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beat the Double |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Taurean |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Autumn Rob |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
A G’s Gem |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kats Pick |
20.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Native Requite |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kah Nigh |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brandon’s Best |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mississippi Co. |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frenetic Day |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Leroy Lou |
10.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
B D Envisionist |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Way too Tough |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Destiny’s Grace |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Funtimegirl |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Geaux Vote |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Weather Map |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cayman Queen |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Malibu Toast |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Apriority Catch |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Reaux Bina |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Janis |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
True Red Slew |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Grace’s Soldier |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Freddie by a Nose |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stiff Drink |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Classic Warrior |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
I Don’t Venmo |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hawaiian Argument |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
True Crimson |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Putthehammerdown |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cabro Toro |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stone Alliance |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Holiday Diamond |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ells |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Empire Kid |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Triple Red Aces |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bobby Boy |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Son Carlos |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lo Lo’s Laughter |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mud On My Boots |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Trabr’s Creed |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Oceola |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sunset War |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moro Flashback |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cajun Blast |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Saucy Gem |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kerrigan’s Touch |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ranology |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Cantaros |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Secret Tee |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Gypsy |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Short Stack |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shelbi’s Star |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Honey Pat |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Inez |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.