Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rock Star Doctor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dessert First | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lawless Times | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tribest (ARG) | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foreign Tourist | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Dont Know Either | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bitsy Perfectmatch | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Away Samari | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Everylittlesingh | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adiamondinthestorm | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artie’s Deal | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Chloe | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shezaperfectdream | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Father Mark | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Cadillac | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apriority Rocket | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Day | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pop’s Peppysteper | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rising Koto Star | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colt’s Brim | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wish Me Home | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | April Fools Andy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Risk Manager | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brit’s Wit | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breaking Alone | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agent Creed | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rightandjust | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wilton | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uxmal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Talkstrash | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Tamashi | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cupid’s War | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Backfire | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Metronome | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sense You Asked | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Adopter | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Boucane | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Connor Talkstrash | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aoide | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Music Mill | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nightnthequarter | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sicilian Defense | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Ready | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Jig Is Up (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Higginsville | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Interlude | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Initialize | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Touch Of Glam (ARG) | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | B Wayne | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyric Street | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Chapel Street | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | My Sweet Love | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exington | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McKinzie’s Glory | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chapel Street | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreaming of Lilies | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Searching Spirit | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lyric Street | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prima Bella | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Birdie Call | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Tourist | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daisy de Oro | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sikara Sikara | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summertime Bandit | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Deroutante | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eye of the Pharaoh | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steel Guitar | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Star | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Back Street Baby | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ann’s Storm | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Miss Kennedy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kathlyns Phalanx | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Front and Silver | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mo for Us | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Prairie | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | About to Set Sail | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Girl From de Bayou | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Diva | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | From Scratch | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Copper Crush | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | William’s Legacy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Delightful Halo | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Congratulera | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.