Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hey Lil Lady | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Cappuccino | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kitty Marren | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Light | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Isntsheloverly | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amorita | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Whirlwind | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Authentic Grace | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Makenarita | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lila | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Footnote | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss Me Kado | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sensational Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Prime and Ready | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Invigorated | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Fifth Street | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Man Child | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tallis | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischelof (CHI) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Petesoldfashioned | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simplexity (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stan From Malibu | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Middleburg | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | On the Whim | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lottery Pick | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Invigorated | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lahaina Flavor | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Siennois (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Promissio | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blamethegoodtimes | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oscar Joy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sine Qua Non | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tranche | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ciro di Marzio | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 98 | Rimprotector | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | We Can | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silverado Storm | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Votre Sante | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Far Western | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winds of Freedom | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskeyinateacup | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Factor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Jimmy Durante S.) – Jimmy Durante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sea Runner | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Supa Speed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lee’s Baby Girl | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Resolve | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casalu | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dandy Vandy (FR) | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slick (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tigerish | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Schilflied | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ce La Vi Charli | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Will Then | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Acquitted | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Origami (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Size Lord | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brave Blend | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ignatowski | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pratchett | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Storm | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Curlin | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naukanauka | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief Moments | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’squite Mischief | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Seabiscuit H.) – Seabiscuit H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masteroffoxhounds | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 10 | 10 | Almendares (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Easter (FR) | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seal Team (GB) | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astronomer | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Redistricting (GB) | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sumter | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Masteroffoxhounds | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Hermano Ramon | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cabo Spirit | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zio Jo | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Buck | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | St Anthony | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen Girvin | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Shop Till You Drop | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Side by Side | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit Rules | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wishes to Riches | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Girvin | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toulouse Detrac | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hollywood Derby) – Hollywood Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King of Gosford (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carson’s Run | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Formidable Man | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cathal (IRE) | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rothschild | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Atitlan | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Twirling Point | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Hot | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donegal Momentum | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | British Isles | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heart Headed | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chatalas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tirupati | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.