Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Lovely Sassicaia |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sonofaship |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bet On Bobby |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tambourine Star |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Baby’s Last Dance |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Top Priority |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Native Star |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
American Vision |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Vision |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Leos Wish |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grand Academic |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Motown Star |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rexinator |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Final Decree |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Right Spot |
4.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Does Not Compute |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Patio’s Porch |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cigar Van |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
J B Gray |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dixie Street |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mind On My Money |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cheatin Charlie |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mucho Marvin |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gypsy’s Soulmate |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Lil Woadie |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jeb’s Lucky Eight |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chad’s Flash |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Pisciotta (GB) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pisciotta (GB) |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tales to Tell |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
H M Legacy |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Yolo |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stents and Statins (GB) |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sunday Tiff |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sophie’s Cruiser |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Marys Wine |
30.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sugarcoat |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Faded Jeans (GB) |
4.50 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Boss’ Dialin In |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jerry’s Eighty |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Willtorun |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scat Free |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Notion |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Honky Tonk Highway |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
No White Flags |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Nile Valley |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Triumphant Spirit |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bee Bluff |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Black Dog |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Play With Fire |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Goldenageactress |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wayzata |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aviso |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Map Out |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Didn’t It Rain |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Twirling Dixie |
8.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aterradora (IRE) |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
14 |
14 |
Reimagine |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Embrasser |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Divine Rose |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Eyes On Italy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
You’ll Be Back |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Flaming Glory |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Awakening |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stipulate |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Casilda |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Armaleese |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Romanaya |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Golden Bonita |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maravista |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Pan Zareta S.) – Pan Zareta S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Cupids Crush |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ever So Sweet (IRE) |
5.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moonlit Lady |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bosserati |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Accomplished Girl |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
All I Want Is You |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cloudwalker |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hollywood Walk |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
13 |
13 |
Sugar Bee |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Alla Breve |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Off Ramp |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cecile |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Faccia Bella |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Wild Bout Hilary |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Classy Judy G |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Undercover Girl |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
La Nina Dorada |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Dealority |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
In B. J.’s Honor |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lulu’s Magic |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Viv’s Wild Aces |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tap Galore |
5.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Good N Sassy |
10.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grace Hazel |
8.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.