Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 30, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lovely Sassicaia 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sonofaship 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Bet On Bobby 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Tambourine Star 3.50 5 9-1
7 7 Baby’s Last Dance 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Top Priority 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Native Star 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
American Vision 0 0-1
5 5 American Vision 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Leos Wish 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Grand Academic 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Motown Star 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Rexinator 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Final Decree 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Right Spot 4.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Does Not Compute 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Patio’s Porch 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cigar Van 10.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 J B Gray 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Dixie Street 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Mind On My Money 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Cheatin Charlie 10.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Mucho Marvin 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Gypsy’s Soulmate 5.00 4 8-1
11 11 Lil Woadie 12.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 20.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Chad’s Flash 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Pisciotta (GB) 0 0-1
5 5 Pisciotta (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tales to Tell 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 H M Legacy 6.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Yolo 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Stents and Statins (GB) 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sunday Tiff 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Sophie’s Cruiser 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Marys Wine 30.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Sugarcoat 30.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Faded Jeans (GB) 4.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Boss’ Dialin In 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Jerry’s Eighty 8.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Willtorun 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Scat Free 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Notion 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Honky Tonk Highway 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 No White Flags 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nile Valley 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Triumphant Spirit 6.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Bee Bluff 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Black Dog 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Play With Fire 8.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Goldenageactress 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Wayzata 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Aviso 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Map Out 20.00 8.8 17-1
13 13 Didn’t It Rain 8.00 9 17-1
11 11 Twirling Dixie 8.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Aterradora (IRE) 12.00 10 19-1
14 14 Reimagine 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Embrasser 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Divine Rose 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Eyes On Italy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 You’ll Be Back 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Flaming Glory 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Awakening 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Stipulate 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Casilda 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Armaleese 20.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Romanaya 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Golden Bonita 30.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Maravista 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Pan Zareta S.) – Pan Zareta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Cupids Crush 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ever So Sweet (IRE) 5.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 Moonlit Lady 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 Bosserati 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Accomplished Girl 8.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 All I Want Is You 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Cloudwalker 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Hollywood Walk 6.00 4.1 8-1
13 13 Sugar Bee 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Alla Breve 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Off Ramp 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Cecile 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Faccia Bella 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wild Bout Hilary 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Classy Judy G 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Undercover Girl 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 La Nina Dorada 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Miss Dealority 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 In B. J.’s Honor 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lulu’s Magic 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Viv’s Wild Aces 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Tap Galore 5.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Good N Sassy 10.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Grace Hazel 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.