Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Seeyouinmydreams |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Not One Less |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Great Shashi |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zo Zucchera |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Diamonds N Thrills |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Star Game |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shines Madelin |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Senorita Nomas |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spelled |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dylanson |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
New Diamond |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Its Satisfactual |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Play Misty (IRE) |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Silver Moonlight |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Public Defender |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cha Cha Chukka |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Happy Holiday |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Scaloneta |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Entrepreneurship |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bal de Mar |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fussy Girl |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Girl in Blue |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smart Beauty |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Majesty’s Song |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pharaoh’s Favorite |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ipse Dixit |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Entrepreneurship |
2.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
A Palace for Mom |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bubbly Champagne |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Calming Sea |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
A Palace for Mom |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Taking It All |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tell Me Some Lies |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cool Tricks |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Leucadia |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesomely Wild |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Judy Blue |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Anonymous Source |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Some of It |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Escondido |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Bell Mountain |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Paris Surprise |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bell Mountain |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Enlighten |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ciao Chuck |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mythic Performance |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beach Gold |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Proton Spirit |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
We Live This Game |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Escondido |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Perretti (IRE) |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Wincham |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Corruption |
12.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
15 |
15 |
Musta’ed |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Act of Mutiny |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Sticky McShnickens |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Ftboa Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.) – Ftboa Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
My Denysse |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stunner |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
R Morning Brew |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Win N Your In |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kip the Distance |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fede |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Denysse |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bee a Queen |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Bizymaline |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bramble Bay |
12.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Go Big Green |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Worldly Beauty |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dontmesswithtess |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Get Pickled |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sandpiper Memories |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smart Spending |
4.50 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wicklow Gal |
5.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’s a Joy |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dubstep |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Current Situation |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
14 |
14 |
Khosea |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Queen Deymar |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Miss Delicious |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nineteenamendment |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sri Lanka |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roscoe Village |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sleepwalker |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Burnaway |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fantasy Performer |
30.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mi Amore |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Coldhardstare (SAF) |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Perilous |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Fly the W |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Patriot Spirit |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sir London |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dripping Gold |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Possiblemente |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
American Speed |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lights of Broadway |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Anamnestic |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Salvattore Prince |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ftboa Florida Sire In Reality S.) – Ftboa Florida Sire In Reality S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Oleg |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Rated by Merit |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rated by Merit |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Classic of Course |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lou |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just Relax |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Emmett |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Latch the Hatch |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roar of the Beast |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Oleg |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Neoequos |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
New Ginya |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Madame Mischief |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aspen Dawn |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beach Ready |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Biloxi Blues |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fay’s Rhonda Cares |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady Mary (GER) |
1.80 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tape Runner |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gossiper |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blitz |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.