Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 1, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shop Lifting 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 The Taco Lady 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 On Command 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Pay the Bills (FR) 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Truth and Beauty 2.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Broadway Lights 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Brooklyn Rhapsody 12.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Vehemente 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Island Ride 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Shadyside 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Power Driver 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Final Denile 2.00 1 2-1
2 1 Beary Funny 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Irie Man 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Freeze Pop 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 3 Grand Again 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Masterwork 15.00 6.2 12-1
1A 8 Majestic Arc 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 9 Muazarah 20.00 8.9 17-1
9 10 Vin Santo 12.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Gentle Breeze 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Refuah 0 0-1
4 4 Runaway Joke 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 He’s Got It 10.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Brick Ambush 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Refuah 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Dolly’s Bank 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Two for Charging 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Very Stormy 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sir Palace Prince 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Straca 0 0-1
4 4 Lady Wisdom 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Willful Mama 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Straca 12.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Blakely’s Wish 30.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Cara’s Dreamweaver 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Dreamworkin 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Giant At Work 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 On a Summer Day 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Vino Samara 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Daybright Delights 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Iron Man Ira 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Vitalize 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Baron of Sealand 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Van Vollenhoven 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 English Castle 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Stormy’s Dreaming 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 D C Boy’s 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sol the Frank 50.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Executive Move 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wild Iris 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Top of the Table 15.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Pam Pam 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Next On Stage 2.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Spiritual Lady 4.50 6.4 12-1
10 10 Thirteen Red Flags 12.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Valiant Majesty 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Street View 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Baby Blocks 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Last Glory 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Golden Degree 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Julia Shining 1.40 2.3 4-1
6 6 Courbe 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Ringy Dingy 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sweetest Princess 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Nature’s Candy 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ms. Tart 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Majulu 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Addagirl Addie 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Digital Currency 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Dream On Cara 4.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Watch Over Me 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Follow Your Arrow 6.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Naughty Destiny 3.00 6 11-1
8 8 Montauk Mystique 8.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 She’s a Natural 8.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Purest Performance 15.00 10 19-1
3 3 Funny Forecast 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.