Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Bad Boy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Style Cat | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Kidder | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sevak | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Panuco | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty in Vegas | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Binging | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Breezy Blue | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Kat | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play My Speed | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirst for Passion | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G’oro | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stormy Liberal S.) – Stormy Liberal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boss Sully | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Slider | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Sully | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Nails | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turn On The Jets (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Podres | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sassy Nature | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Reflection | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Coast | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mining District | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Justify | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whats the Buzz | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Le Mans | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caught in the Dark | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crown Council | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Cecil B. Demille S.) – Cecil B. Demille S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Warrior | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Clock Tower | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lazlo | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snowdonia | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scipio | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Dolce | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Game Warrior | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Origami (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kale’s Angel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pali Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pavel Is Appealing | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Mama | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | We the Free | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promise Me Kat | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petite Treat | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nell’s Legacy | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Matriarch S.) – Matriarch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gina Romantica | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Prerequisite | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ag Bullet | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Child of the Moon (FR) | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aussie Girl (IRE) | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mouffy | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gina Romantica | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tax Implications (GB) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nadette (FR) | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tirupati | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aspen Grove (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Wish | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kehoe Beach | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fort Bragg | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For All Mankind | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roll On Big Joe | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manitowish | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moose Mitchell | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mbagnick (CHI) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charlie’s to Blame | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapit Dynasty | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Legitimate | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muscled | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Strategist | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Broski (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baeza | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Power Play | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Comininalittlehot | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iron (FR) | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Max n’ Lou | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.