Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Jackson’s Dixie 0 0-1
1 1 Maggie T 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 My First Love 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Gone and Forgotten 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 La Banquera 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Jackson’s Dixie 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Autumn Glory 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Laughter 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mo Damorninggrouch 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
She Caught My Eye 0 0-1
4 5 Jolly Miss Jill 2.50 1 2-1
7 8 She Caught My Eye 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 2 Suspended Campaign 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 1 Reigning Chick 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 6 Condiment Girl 5.00 2.8 5-1
1A 4 Carbon 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 3 Gringotts 6.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Raw Power 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 1 Master of Arms 2.50 1 2-1
2 3 Secret Rules 3.50 2.6 5-1
2B 5 Cees Get Degrees 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 10 Cold as Hell 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 9 Dangerous Ride 5.00 5.1 10-1
3X 8 Sagamore Mischief 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 2 Excellent Timing 8.00 SCRATCH
5 7 Poppy’s Pride 6.00 SCRATCH
3 6 Dot’s Dollar 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 4 Charging Aero 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 High Heat 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Ski Country 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Chalky Cat 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Khafre 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Allaboutthemoney 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Venge 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Honorary Degree 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Perfect Flight 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Co Conspirator 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mighty Atlas 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bourbon Chase 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 B D Saints 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Russian Realm 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Shadow Dragon 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Dr. Kraft 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Two’s a Crowd 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Sundaeswithsandy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Miss Tiramisu 2.00 1 2-1
9 10 Trulli Magic 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Pretty Magical 8.00 2.9 6-1
1A 7 Phonecalltoheaven 10.00 3.6 7-1
8 9 Gabby’s Legacy 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Howling Wind 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Our Preferred Pal 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Julita 3.00 SCRATCH
1 4 Wildcat Annie 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Bank On Bebe 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Bold Ambition 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Willintoriskitall 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Scat Tu Tap 8.00 3.4 6-1
11 12 D Day Sky 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Wine Responsibly 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Janssen 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Brown Don’t Stop 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Union Express 30.00 12 23-1
3 3 War Chrome 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Timaeus 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 9 Six Kings 3.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Comanche Peak (GB) 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sacrosanct 0 0-1
2 2 Sacrosanct 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Bold Fortune 2.50 1.2 2-1
10 10 Soontobeking 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 National Identity 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Smilensaycheese 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Buttah 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Missing Rocks 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Twohonestmischief 30.00 10 19-1
1 1 Friend Ofthe Devil 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Man in Finance 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Boston’s Phinest 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 Stone Smuggler 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Mischief Lady 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Storm Changer 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Princess Mischief 10.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Material Girl 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 D’s a Rock 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Blossoming Erudite 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Idyll Gossip 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Queen Atlas 30.00 12 23-1
2 2 Stunning Sugar 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Very Satisfactory 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Active Duty 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Salacious 3.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 First Trumpet 4.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Dangerous Driver 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Taparino 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Just Be Honest 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Lcgolucky 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Noble One 30.00 10 19-1
7 7 Mano E Mano 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.