Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lauriston (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Await | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kake’s Tap Dancer | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bal de Mar | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Summer in Toga | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | British Empress | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tree C’s Kai | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bianka Heart | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiger Lil | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Beauty | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Speight’spercomete | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mobou | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Doorman | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gentleman Gerry | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Science (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Act | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artemus Bridge | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Castagno | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Momza | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Classy Chatterbox | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motown Omi | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fontana Di Trevi | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City Taah | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen McKinzie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kyriaki | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Meghan | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gulfstream Mary D | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Remerton | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Man Jimmy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giovannino | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mohay Please | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carlin Clan | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kuwait Towers | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Steven | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wine Empire | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cajun’s Choice | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gemstone Warrior | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tio Tony | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blaze of Color | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Summer Storm Stric | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smooth an Easy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Patronage | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Take Your Seats (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Four Top | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oscarworthy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Got Sunny | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | John the Baptist | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Operatnthunderbolt | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Ed | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cognoscenti | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Son of a Slew | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Focusyn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Westside Tide | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Smooth an Easy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hurricane Express (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Paxton | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Wincham | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Julee’s Legacy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trevess | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star of Saturn | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sophia’s Storm | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Pryce | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brown Eyed Beauty | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atalanta Alexandra | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galantini | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Commendatore | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majorca | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gosger | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ain’t No Disco | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Galantini | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Binks | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Playa Del Mar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Eminent Power | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Kingdoms | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | What Me Worry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tropical Park Oaks) – Tropical Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | See You Around (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | In Our Time | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vive Veuve | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Life’s an Audible | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pendulum | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belle of Rights | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yatta | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kalispera (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | De Regreso | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Gilded Edge | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Random Harvest | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Strike When Ready | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Victoria’s Dancer | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Justified Strategy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Waskesiu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vassimo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rapture | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shot in the Dark | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Helicity | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eleven Bravo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Virage | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freaky | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Racing Driver | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risk Factor | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Swan Lake | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valentine Bug | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mehlek | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Armando | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bringer of Rain | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chico Charlie | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belly of Jelly | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Moly Moses | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lord Knows | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Tropical Park Derby) – Tropical Park Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cugino | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Heart | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Live High Live Low | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In a Jam | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palm Tree | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brawn | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fidelightcayut | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Can Group | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Inveigled | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full Nelson | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Echo Lane | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Principle | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Il Siciliano | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ninja Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.