Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Defined Boundaries |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fire of Anatolia |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bold Diversion |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Superness |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bye Bye Wicked Eye |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hot Stott |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Parlay for Destiny |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Johnjackjimjaye |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Artillery Gunnar |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nancie’s Boy |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Kerness K |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fear Nothing |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chipotle |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jerry’s Out |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Little Bit Risky |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Let’s Have a Party |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Schrader |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Probale Ten |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pilote Comete |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Soundbite |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Virginia City |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jasiel |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dats My Pharaoh |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Punxsutawney Phil |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
St Pete’s Passion |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Arrow Speed |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ghostlyprince |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Traffic Master |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Run for Your Life |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Motskari |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wine Collector |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sadie the Goat |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’sarollingstone |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Woohoo Jackie Blue |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jess’s Gypsy Girl |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Joya Del Sur |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
No Body Likes Me |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Social Lady |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mainstream Sellout |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
D Hopper |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shakin the Belle |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blind Eye |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brighty |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Hallelujah Harris |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Prince |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
White Series |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Superlastingsecret |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pretty Jimmy |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Long Astride |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
10 |
10 |
Thirty West |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Shine On Moon |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Angel Art |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Feelin So Lucky |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bondiva |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Honor the Truth |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cluck Cluck |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
At First Sight |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Factually Correct |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chattalot |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
No Easy Days |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midlaner |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Five Dreams |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Karan’s Notion |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Swill |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Blue Kingdom |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Betta Go Go Go |
1.80 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Always a Warrior |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Divine Child |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Masakado |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sneaking Suspicion |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.