Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Granada Flavor 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Seattle Breakout 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Frost Alert 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Abadon 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tahoe Secrets 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tom and Jazzy 4.50 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonlight Tryst 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tom’s Star 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Miss Miche Lada 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Our Lovin Feelin 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Zoom Zoom Zoya 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cheering for Layla 6.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thirsty Destiny 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Press Your Luck 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Thirsty in Vegas 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gracie’s Big Day 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nostri Vires 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 She’s My Flame 8.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sweet Vengeance 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Big Celebration 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jai Ho 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Putt for Dough 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Queen Girvin 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Toulouse Detrac 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Stellar Cap 4.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Charmz Away 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mr. Machupicchu 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Frank Bullitt 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sogno Di Vino 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Don’t Have Another 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Irish Legacy 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Aint Behavin 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Big Notion 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Paula’s Candiman 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rio Del Sol 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Prime and Ready 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Polythene Pam 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Gemadini 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Lava Lucy 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Donttellourwives 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Kulbit 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nap 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 One Smokin Dude 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 James J. Braddock 5.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Glass of Jameson 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Keithing Thunder 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Ten Figures 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Grey Area 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Got Soul 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 He’za Ten 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Los Alamitos Futurity) – Los Alamitos Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Journalism 0 0-1
1 1 Gaming 0.40 1 2-1
3 3 Getaway Car 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Journalism 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Rank 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Mellencamp 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Battle Cruiser 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Arromax 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Big Gain 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Scorpion Shot 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Mardy’s Fish 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Royal Curlin 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Sunset Storm 15.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Notch 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mischief Moments 30.00 11 21-1
6 6 Caught in the Dark 30.00 11 21-1
10 10 Beaus Buddy 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.