Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Airborne Elite | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rebelious | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sagittarius | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charbon | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gluckstadt | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Contemplation | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Have Dreams | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Capo Luca | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truth Bomb | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stonington | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Bourbon River | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Down the Islands | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Vidi Vici | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Reign | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tweet Some Mo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Light | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Honor Bo | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Statler | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Phenomenal Dream | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Air It Out | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I Got a Guy | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Statler | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love in Lights (GB) | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coach Sam P | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Evan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Paint Rock Martini | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seeking the Game | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’s a Rainy Day | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Non Fungible | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fan the Fire | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Ben Diesel | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fan the Fire | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Queens Jules | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Date | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | W W Crazy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Brady | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | I Got No Munny | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fever Nation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Hess | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ryno Wrecker | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Moneystrike | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chez Whiz | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Street Commander | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spoonman | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Point Blank | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blessed Vision | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outlaw Run | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Prince | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Cougar | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Natorade | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Partyinthestreets | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insightful Miss | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Strike | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffany Twist | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Insightful Miss | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Class Code | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ship It | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Icy River | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charmonte | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Singing Emma | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Prestigio | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can Do Andrew | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Motel Patel | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brodeur | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gun Runner Charlie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Max Got Excited | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poppa Echo | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wise Decision | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saving Heart | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trigger Point | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | We Need a Favor | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Restless Renegade | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rt Hook Sugar Ray | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | B Sudd | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Chill | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous M | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rabbit Hound | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ravin’s Town | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Ask Watts | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Konteekee | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Googol Joke | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mistletoe S.) – Mistletoe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Taxed | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corningstone | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stellar Lily | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit Jenallie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildwood Bye | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bow Draw | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deck of Cards | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Goodasiwonswas | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gunflash | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toddchero | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | W W Scout’s Honor | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mumayaz | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Juilliard | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Sweep | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drewmania | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manta Rey | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Eugene | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.